{"id":14409,"date":"2020-02-17T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T08:57:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14409"},"modified":"2024-06-25T09:16:03","modified_gmt":"2024-06-25T06:16:03","slug":"jpy-remains-unimpressed-by-recession-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ar\/jpy-remains-unimpressed-by-recession-threat\/","title":{"rendered":"JPY remains unimpressed by recession threat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0<b>Japanese currency<\/b>\u00a0remained rather unimpressed against the USD, in face of a\u00a0<b>recession threat<\/b>\u00a0as GDP rates dived deep into the negatives. The\u00a0<b>Japanese economy<\/b>\u00a0seems to be under increased strain as the\u00a0<b>GDP growth<\/b>\u00a0rate\u00a0<b>underperformed market expectations<\/b>\u00a0and reached -6.3% qoq on an annualized basis, an over six years low. The hit may have been caused according to some analysts also by the\u00a0<b>sales tax hike<\/b>\u00a0imposed by Abe\u2019s government in October. Also, we could see the\u00a0<b>Japanese economy sliding into recession<\/b>, should the next quarter (Q1, 2020) show another contraction of the Japanese economy. The overall\u00a0<b>coronavirus effect<\/b>\u00a0seems to\u00a0<b>strengthen<\/b>\u00a0such worries, which could adversely affect the Japanese economy, especially in tourism and exports. We expect the JPY to remain safe haven driven, yet should\u00a0<b>Japanese financials<\/b>\u00a0continue to be adverse, we could see the JPY be also a bit\u00a0<b>more data driven<\/b>. USD\/JPY remained on a steady sideways motion on Friday and during today\u2019s Asian session, just above the 109.70 (S1) support line. We maintain our sideways motion bias for the pair, yet safe haven flows could alter its direction. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the 109.70 (S1) support line and aim for the 109.00 (S2) support level. On the flip side, should the pair\u2019s long positions be favoured by the market, we could see it breaking the 110.30 (R1) resistance line and aim for higher grounds.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR remains at low levels<\/h3>\n<p>The common currency\u00a0<b>remained weak<\/b>\u00a0on Monday\u2019s opening, as concerns about the area\u2019s growth prospects seem to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/pound-strengthens-on-cabinet-reshuffling\"><b>continue to drive EUR\u2019s direction<\/b><\/a>. Worries increased about a possible adverse effect on\u00a0<b>Eurozone\u2019s economy<\/b>\u00a0from the fast spreading coronavirus and its effects on the\u00a0<b>Chinese economy<\/b>. As per analysts the clich\u00e9 that when China is sneezing, Eurozone is catching a cold, seems to be applicable at this case. Also, analysts tend to note that the sentiment on the euro is becoming clearer, with ,b&gt;weak economic fundamentals helping to push it down. Especially given that the\u00a0<b>German economy<\/b>\u00a0had almost stagnated in Q4 and provided there are limited prospects for growth in Q1 the possibility of a\u00a0<b>recession<\/b>\u00a0seems to also loom over the\u00a0<b>Eurozone<\/b>. Should the pessimistic feeling about the EUR continue to persist, we could see the common currency drifting lower. EUR\/USD remained just above the 1.0835 (S1) support line, yet we maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as the downward trendline incepted since the 31st of January remains intact. Should the bears be in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we could see it breaking the 1.035 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0770 (S2) support level. If the bulls take over, the pair could aim if not break the 1.0885 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>As today US and Canada are on holiday, during the European session, we get from Norway the trade balance for January, while in tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, the minutes of the last RBA meeting are to be released.<\/p>\n<h3>As for the rest of the week<\/h3>\n<p>On Tuesday we get the UK Employment data for December as well as Germany\u2019s ZEW indicators for February On Wednesday we get Japan\u2019s Machinery orders for December and the trade data for January, while from Australia the wage price index for Q4 of 2019, from the UK we get the CPI rates for January, from Turkey CBRT\u2019s interest rate decision, from Canada the inflation rates for January and late in the American session we get from the US the minutes of the last FOMC meeting. On Thursday we get Australia\u2019s employment data for January, UK\u2019s retail sales for January, from the Eurozone ECB\u2019s account of its last monetary policy and in the American session the area\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence for February. On Friday, we get Japan\u2019s inflation measures for January, Canada\u2019s retail sales growth rates for February and the preliminary Markit PMIs for February from Australia, France, Germany, Eurozone, UK and the US.<\/p>\n<p><b>USD\/JPY 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/17-02-2020\/usd-jpy-17-02-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one hundred and nine point seven and resistance at one hundred and ten point three, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 109.70 (S1), 109.00 (S2), 108.35 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 110.30 (R1), 111.00 (R2), 111.70 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>EUR\/USD 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/17-02-2020\/eur-usd-17-02-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point zero eight three five and resistance at one point zero eight eight five, direction downwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.0835 (S1), 1.0770 (S2), 1.0700 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.0885 (R1), 1.0940 (R2), 1.0990 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/17-02-2020\/Benchmark.png\" alt=\"Benchmark\/17-02-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/17-02-2020\/Table.png\" alt=\"Table-\/17-02-2020\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0Japanese currency\u00a0remained rather unimpressed against the USD, in face of a\u00a0recession threat\u00a0as GDP rates dived deep into the negatives. The\u00a0Japanese<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>JPY remains unimpressed by recession threat<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"JPY unimpressed against USD despite recession threat from poor GDP rates. 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