{"id":14667,"date":"2020-05-18T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T11:54:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&p=14667"},"modified":"2024-05-17T09:24:58","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T06:24:58","slug":"usd-seems-to-remain-steady-while-pound-relents-ground","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/en\/usd-seems-to-remain-steady-while-pound-relents-ground\/","title":{"rendered":"USD seems to remain steady, while pound relents ground"},"content":{"rendered":"

The USD<\/b>\u00a0seemed to remain steady against most of its counterparts on Friday and during\u00a0today\u2019s Asian session<\/b>, as despite\u00a0economies gradually continuing to reopen<\/b>, worries about tensions in the\u00a0US-Sino trade<\/b>\u00a0relationships seem to be increasing. It should be noted that the\u00a0US retail sales<\/b>\u00a0dropped to a crashing -16.4% mom while industrial production also dropped deep into the negatives, both for April. However, as tensions between the\u00a0US and China<\/b>\u00a0increase, we tend to worry also about\u00a0commodity currencies<\/b>\u00a0especially\u00a0the AUD<\/b>, as the\u00a0Australian economy<\/b>\u00a0has a substantial exposure to China.\u00a0JPY<\/b>\u00a0on the other hand, seems to remain rangebound against the USD, as the country enters a recession this deep, for the first time since 2014, after the release of the GDP growth rate for Q1, which is in the negatives, yet improved if compared to Q4\u2019s rate.\u00a0USD\/JPY<\/b>\u00a0maintained a sideways motion between the 106.60 (S1) support line and the 107.75 (R1) resistance line since Friday. We maintain our bias for a sideways motion currently, yet safe-haven flows could alter the pair\u2019s direction. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market we could see USD\/JPY breaking the 106.60 (S1) line and aim for the 105.30 (S2) level. While should the pair\u2019s long positions be favored by the market, we could see it breaking the 107.75 (R1) line and start aiming for the 109.10 (R2) level.<\/p>\n

The biggest looser from the majors since Friday, would be the\u00a0pound against the USD<\/b>, as the specter of\u00a0negative interest rates in the UK<\/b>\u00a0still looms over the pound along with\u00a0Brexit<\/b>\u00a0worries as we\u00a0analysed in previous reports<\/b><\/a>. The statements from\u00a0BoE\u2019s chief economist<\/b>\u00a0on Saturday to the Telegraph would be characteristic as he stated that “The economy is weaker<\/b>\u00a0than a year ago and we are now at the effective lower bound, so in that sense it’s something we’ll need to look at \u2013 are looking at \u2013 with somewhat greater immediacy,”. We expect the BoE Governor\u2019s comments before UK lawmakers on Wednesday, to gather substantial interest as more light could be shed over BoE\u2019s intentions. As for Brexit, according to media both the\u00a0UK and EU<\/b>\u00a0demanded that the other side give ground in talks on a new post-Brexit trade deal, which could be foreshadowing further tensions along the way.\u00a0GBP\/USD dropped<\/b>\u00a0on Friday, breaking clearly the 1.2200 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. Albeit cable showing some signs of recovery during today\u2019s Asian session, we maintain our bearish outlook, as the pair seems to be guided by the downward trendline incepted since the 8th of the month. Should GBP\/USD continue to be guided from the bears, we could see it breaking the 1.2015 (S1) line and aim for the 1.1815 (S2) level. If the bulls take over we could see it breaking the 1.2200 (R1) line and aim for the 1.2400 (R2) level.<\/p>\n

Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n

It\u2019s expected to be a slow Monday today as no major financial releases are expected. However, during the Asian session tomorrow, we get New Zealand\u2019s PPI inputs growth rate for Q1, while a bit later we get Japan\u2019s revised industrial output growth rate for March. Also please bear in mind that RBA\u2019s minutes are due out.<\/p>\n

As for the rest of week<\/h3>\n

On Tuesday, UK\u2019s employment data for March, Germany\u2019s ZEW economic sentiment for May and the US construction data for April are to be released, while Fed\u2019s Chair Powell and US Treasurer Mnuchin testify before US lawmakers. On Wednesday, we get from Japan the machinery orders growth rate for March, UK\u2019s, Eurozone\u2019s (final) and Canada\u2019s CPI rates for April, while BoE\u2019s governor Bailey speaks before UK lawmakers and FOMC\u2019s minutes are to be released. On Thursday, we get Australia\u2019s PMI\u2019s for May, Japan\u2019s trade data for April and preliminary manufacturing PMI for May, UK\u2019s preliminary PMI\u2019s for May, Turkey\u2019s CBRT Interest rate decision, and the US initial jobless claims, Philly Fed Business index for May and the Markit preliminary PMI\u2019s for May, while Fed\u2019s Chair Powell speaks. On Friday, we get from Japan the CPI rates, UK\u2019s retail sales, Europe\u2019s main PMI readings for May, and from Canada we get the retail sales for March.<\/p>\n

USD\/JPY 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 106.60 (S1), 105.30 (S2), 104.15 (S3)
\nResistance: 107.75 (R1), 109.10 (R2), 110.60 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

GBP\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 1.2015 (S1), 1.1815 (S2), 1.1635 (S3)
\nResistance: 1.2200 (R1), 1.2400 (R2), 1.2580 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

\"benchmark-18-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

\"table-18-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

\"morning-releases-18-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/p>\n

This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The USD\u00a0seemed to remain steady against most of its counterparts on Friday and during\u00a0today\u2019s Asian session, as despite\u00a0economies gradually continuing<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUSD seems to remain steady, while pound relents ground<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD remained steady amid US-Sino trade tensions, with USD\/JPY rangebound between 106.60 support and 107.75 resistance.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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