{"id":15025,"date":"2020-08-03T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T15:53:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=15025"},"modified":"2024-05-13T12:12:45","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T09:12:45","slug":"usd-gains-seem-to-remain-capped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/en\/usd-gains-seem-to-remain-capped\/","title":{"rendered":"USD gains seem to remain capped"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD gained some ground on Friday against most of its counterparts implying a possible reversal of the losing trend of the past few weeks, yet its gains seemed to remain capped during todays\u2019 Asian session. We tend to remain skeptical over a possible surge of the USD as the fundamentals surrounding it tend to remain bleak and point towards the other direction. Especially the worries for the recovery of the US economy seem to remain strong and given that according to media, White House officials are not optimistic on reaching a deal to fiscally boost the US economy, worries may intensify. We tend to regard a possible deal for a US fiscal stimulus as of the essence for the direction of the USD, however also financial releases are to play a role. USD\/JPY rose substantially on Friday breaking the 105.30 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support, and continued higher, yet during today\u2019s Asian session corrected a bit lower. Some stabilisation seems to be playing out for the pair at the current moment, yet market sentiment and US financial releases could play a role in the pair\u2019s direction. Should the pair find fresh buying orders along its path, we could see it breaking the 106.60 (R1) line and aim for the 107.75 (R2) resistance level. Should a selling interest be displayed by the market, we could see the pair breaking the 105.30 (S1) support line and aim for the 104.10 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision<\/h3>\n<p>Tomorrow in the late Asian session, RBA (04:30,GMT) is expected to release its interest rate decision and is widely expected to remain on hold at +0.25%, while AUD OIS imply a probability of 98.72% for such a scenario. Should the bank remain on hold as expected we could see the market\u2019s attention turning to the accompanying statement especially for any views of the bank on the country\u2019s economic outlook, given the reintroduction of lock down measures in Melbourne. It should be mentioned that RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent stated that negative rates were not an option for the bank, while RBA seems prepared to scale up operations should it be needed. We expect the bank to sound more dovish, given the recent adverse financial releases, which could have a bearish effect on the AUD.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD dropped during Friday, breaking the upward trendline incepted since the 14th of July. As the pair\u2019s price action clearly broke the prementioned trendline, we switch our bullish outlook in favour of a sideways motion initially. Should the bears take over, we could see AUD\/USD breaking the 0.7100 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.7025 (S2) level. On the flip side, should the bulls dominate, we could see the pair breaking the 0.7200 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.7300 (R2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>Today in the European session, we highlight Germany\u2019s and UK\u2019s final Manufacturing PMIs for July and in the American session the US ISM manufacturing PMI for July. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, before the RBA interest rate decision we get Australia\u2019s retail sales growth rate and trade data for June.<\/p>\n<h3>As for the rest of the week<\/h3>\n<p>On Tuesday, we get from Australia the trade balance and the retail sales growth rate both for June while also from Australia we get RBA\u2019s interest rate decision and in the American session, we get Canada\u2019s Markit manufacturing PMI for July and from the US the factory orders growth rate for June. On Wednesday, we get New Zealand\u2019s employment data for Q2, China\u2019s Caixin Services PMI for July, UK\u2019s and France\u2019s Services PMI, Canada\u2019s trade balance for June and the US ISM non-manufacturing PMI for July. On Thursday, Germany\u2019s industrial orders growth rate for June, BoE\u2019s interest rate decision, the weekly US initial jobless claims figure and the from the Czech Republic, CNB\u2019s interest rate decision, are due out. On Friday, we get China\u2019s trade balance for July, Germanys\u2019 industrial output growth rate for June, UK\u2019s Halifax house prices, the US employment report with its NFP figure for July and Canada\u2019s employment data also for July.<\/p>\n<p><b>USD\/JPY 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/7-July-20\/31-07-2020\/eur-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at one hundred and five point thirty and resistance at one hundred and six point sixty, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 105.30 (S1), 104.10 (S2), 103.10 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 106.60 (R1), 107.75 (R2), 109.10 (R3)<\/p>\n<p><b>AUD\/USD Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/aud-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point seventy one and resistance at zero point seventy two, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 0.7100 (S1), 0.7025 (S2), 0.6925 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 0.7200 (R1), 0.7300 (R2), 0.7390 (R3)<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/benchmark.JPG\" alt=\"benchmark-03-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/table.JPG\" alt=\"table-03-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/morning-releases.JPG\" alt=\"morning-releases-03-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer:<\/p>\n<p><i>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD gained some ground on Friday against most of its counterparts implying a possible reversal of the losing trend<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | USD gains seem to remain capped<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD gains amid concerns; USD\/JPY rises but sentiment cautious. 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