{"id":58217,"date":"2023-03-22T16:27:54","date_gmt":"2023-03-22T14:27:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=58217"},"modified":"2025-10-13T14:11:40","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T11:11:40","slug":"equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/en\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

US stock markets<\/strong> managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded<\/strong> to higher ground, as the turmoil<\/strong> from sequential bank<\/strong> collapses<\/strong> and the fear for contagion<\/strong> across the globe, hurt the greenback<\/strong> which was translated into increased risk-taking<\/strong> behavior from equity traders<\/strong>.  In this report we aim to present the recent fundamental and economic news releases that impacted the US stock markets<\/strong>, look ahead at the upcoming events that could affect their performance and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets await patiently for the Fed\u2019s decision<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In today\u2019s American session the star of the day will be the FED\u2019s interest rate decision<\/strong> and the market\u2019s expectations seem to have solidified. It\u2019s characteristic that FFF<\/strong> are predicting an 80% probability of a hike<\/strong> by 25 basis points<\/strong>. There was a lot of speculation in regards to how the FED<\/strong> would react following the mini-banking crisis<\/strong> that plagued the US economy in the past few weeks. Most notable were SVB<\/strong> and Silvergate<\/strong> whose collapses spread contagion fears<\/strong> across numerous banks in Europe, such as Credit Suisse<\/strong> which led to its acquisition from its long-term rival UBS<\/strong>. The implications were potentially catastrophic, as many feared this could upend strategic plans laid by the ECB <\/strong>and FED<\/strong> in order to combat inflation. However, following the ECB\u2019s decision<\/strong> to hike rates by 50 basis points<\/strong> and the swift action followed by SNB<\/strong> for Credit Suisse<\/strong>, the market anticipates that the FED<\/strong> could follow suit<\/strong> with its respective tightening plans<\/strong>, not of the same magnitude, however. Hence instead of not<\/strong> staying on hold<\/strong> and in fear of worsening the already delicate financial situation, the Fed<\/strong> may opt for the moderate 25 basis points hike<\/strong> scenario, so that the bank may continue to pursue its inflationary goal<\/strong> of 2%, without overstressing the Banking industry.<\/strong> Besides the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision<\/strong> as such, we also highlight the release of the accompanying statement<\/strong> which includes its forward guidance.<\/strong> Should the bank ease its aggressive<\/strong> hawkish stance<\/strong> and show some hesitation about its future rate hiking path, we may see the USD weakening,<\/strong> a scenario that highlights the possibility of an interest rate hike turning to a dovish hike<\/strong>. That therefore could inadvertently lead on equity<\/strong> traders<\/strong> to indulge in riskier behavior<\/strong>, and we may see stock markets<\/strong> head to higher ground. Furthermore, markets will also focus on the release of the new dot plot<\/strong>, which is expected to broadcast where FOMC policymakers<\/strong> see the terminal rate peak<\/strong>. Should the terminal rate remain above market expectations we may see a bullish sentiment surrounding<\/strong> the USD<\/strong>, whereas downplay optimistic scenarios<\/strong> for a rally in the equities sectors<\/strong>. Also, we note the release of the bank\u2019s new economic projections<\/strong>. It will be interesting to see whether the Fed<\/strong> anticipates a recession in the US economy or not. Should the projections point out that the central bank foresees that the US economy is to avoid a recession<\/strong> or even encounter<\/strong> a rather<\/strong> shallow<\/strong> one, that may allow for the USD<\/strong> to gain<\/strong> somewhat. Last but not least, we also note Fed<\/strong> Chairman Jerome Powell\u2019s<\/strong> press conference post the decision. The Fed\u2019s Chairman<\/strong> comments after a decision are notorious for igniting market volatility<\/strong> and outright cause a reversal<\/strong> in market sentiment<\/strong>, therefore we advise caution in regards to USD-linked pairs<\/strong>. Should the Fed Chairman<\/strong> actually sound hawkish<\/strong> enough, we may see the greenback<\/strong> getting some support<\/strong> and highlighting once again that the decision may have ripple effects into equities<\/strong> markets<\/strong> depending on the outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Technical Analysis<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

#US30 4Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Support: 31800 (S1), 31100 (S2), 30300 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 32600 (R1), 33500 (R2), 34500 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking at #US30 4-hour chart<\/strong> we observe the index<\/strong> consolidating<\/strong> around the 31800 (S1) support<\/strong> base over the past week and bouncing higher, closing in the 32600 (R1) resistance<\/strong> barrier ahead of today\u2019s Fed<\/strong> interest rate decision<\/strong>. We hold a sideways<\/strong> bias<\/strong> for the index, ahead of today\u2019s decision, awaiting for the results and advising caution. The RSI<\/strong> indicator below our 4-hour chart that currently registers a reading of 58, which showcases slight bullish sentiment<\/strong> in favour of the index<\/strong>, yet the price action remains bounded between the descending channels\u2019 bounds<\/strong>. Should the bulls take over<\/strong>, we may see the break above the 32600 (R1) resistance<\/strong> level and the upper bound of the descending channel<\/strong> alongside the move of the index<\/strong> closer to the 33500 (R2) resistance barrier<\/strong>. In an extremely volatile scenario we may also see the price action rising closer to the 34500 (R3) level. Should the bears reign over<\/strong> on the other hand, we may see the definitive break below the 31800 (S1) support<\/strong> level and the lower bound of the descending channel<\/strong>, alongside the possible break below the 31100 (S2) support base<\/strong>. Under extreme scenario we may also see the price action heading lower, closer to the 30300 (S3) support range which was last visited during October of 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:
This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nForex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58217\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/en\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":878,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\",\"description\":\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\""Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners' needs. 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