{"id":55004,"date":"2023-02-06T10:05:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-06T08:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=55004"},"modified":"2025-10-17T09:57:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T06:57:25","slug":"rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/es\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\/","title":{"rendered":"La decisi\u00f3n sobre la tasa de inter\u00e9s del RBA ser\u00e1 el centro de atenci\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as the NFP figure instead of dropping, rose to reach&nbsp; 517k and the unemployment rate ticked down to 3.4%, showcasing the tightness of the US employment market. The release highlights the possibility of a hawkish Fed and understandably weakened riskier assets such as US stockmarkets which dropped. Also, we note that during today\u2019s Asian session, reports surfaced that BoJ Deputy Governor Amamiya may be the one to replace BoJ Governor Kuroda in April and that the Japanese Government is considering this scenario. The reports have not been reaffirmed from the Japanese Government, yet such a scenario could weaken JPY given that Deputy Governor was regarded as being one of the doves in BoJ. Tomorrow, during the Asian session, we highlight RBA\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points and AUD OIS imply a probability of 91% for such a scenario to materialize, while the rest imply that the bank may remain on hold at 3.10%. It should be noted that the acceleration of the headline CPI rate on a year-on-year level and the relatively tight employment market despite the drop of the employment change figure into the negatives for December, adds more pressure on the bank to tighten its monetary policy. Should the bank proceed with a 25 basis points rate hike as expected, we may see the Aussie getting some support, yet market attention is expected to turn towards Governor Lowe\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the statement maintain a clear, confident, hawkish tone, we may see AUD gaining further. Should the bank express doubts about the possible tightening of its monetary policy the rate hike may turn to a dovish hike weakening the Aussie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n <iframe title=\"La decisi\u00f3n sobre la tasa de inter\u00e9s del RBA ser\u00e1 el centro de atenci\u00f3n\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pJoaOFrNGlM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tambi\u00e9n observamos que durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica de hoy, surgieron informes de que el vicegobernador del BoJ, Amamiya, podr\u00eda ser el que reemplace al gobernador del BoJ, Kuroda, en abril y que el gobierno japon\u00e9s est\u00e1 considerando este escenario. Los informes no han sido reafirmados por el gobierno japon\u00e9s, sin embargo, tal escenario podr\u00eda debilitar al JPY dado que el vicegobernador era considerado como una paloma en el BoJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ma\u00f1ana, durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica, destacamos la decisi\u00f3n de tasas de inter\u00e9s del RBA y se espera que el banco aumente las tasas en 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos y AUD OIS implica una probabilidad del 91% para que se materialice tal escenario, mientras que el resto implica que el banco puede permanecen en suspenso en 3.10%. Cabe se\u00f1alar que la aceleraci\u00f3n de la tasa de IPC general a nivel interanual y el mercado laboral relativamente ajustado a pesar de la ca\u00edda de la cifra de cambio de empleo a los negativos de diciembre, agrega m\u00e1s presi\u00f3n sobre el banco para ajustar su pol\u00edtica monetaria. pol\u00edtica. Si el banco procede con un aumento de la tasa de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos como se esperaba, es posible que veamos que el d\u00f3lar australiano obtenga cierto apoyo, aunque se espera que la atenci\u00f3n del mercado se dirija hacia la declaraci\u00f3n adjunta del gobernador Lowe. Si la declaraci\u00f3n mantiene un tono claro, confiado y agresivo, es posible que veamos que el AUD gana m\u00e1s. Si el banco expresa dudas sobre el posible endurecimiento de su pol\u00edtica monetaria, la subida de tipos puede convertirse en una subida moderada que debilite al d\u00f3lar australiano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Otros puntos destacados del d\u00eda:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hoy, en la sesi\u00f3n europea, observamos la publicaci\u00f3n de la tasa de crecimiento de los pedidos industriales de Alemania para diciembre, el \u00edndice Sentix de la zona euro para febrero, la cifra del PMI de la construcci\u00f3n del Reino Unido para enero y la tasa preliminar de IAPC de Alemania para enero, aunque la publicaci\u00f3n es tentativa y podr\u00eda darse en los pr\u00f3ximos Hace un par de d\u00edas, mientras que, en el frente monetario, notamos que Mann, miembro del MPC del BoE, habla. Durante la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del martes del lunes, adem\u00e1s de la decisi\u00f3n sobre la tasa de inter\u00e9s del RBA, tambi\u00e9n recibimos de Australia los datos comerciales de diciembre y el gasto de todos los hogares de Jap\u00f3n para el mismo mes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El martes, obtendremos la producci\u00f3n industrial de Alemania para diciembre, los precios de la vivienda de Halifax en el Reino Unido para enero y los datos comerciales de Canad\u00e1 para diciembre.\nEl mi\u00e9rcoles tenemos el saldo de la cuenta corriente de Jap\u00f3n\nEl jueves, tomamos nota de la publicaci\u00f3n de la cifra inicial semanal de solicitudes de desempleo de EE. UU., as\u00ed como de las ventas minoristas de tarjetas electr\u00f3nicas de Nueva Zelanda para enero, mientras que en el informe monetario que recibimos de Suecia, la decisi\u00f3n sobre la tasa de inter\u00e9s del Riksbank.\nFinalmente, el viernes, obtenemos los precios de los bienes corporativos de Jap\u00f3n, las m\u00e9tricas de inflaci\u00f3n de China, las tasas del IPC de Noruega y los datos de empleo de Canad\u00e1, todos correspondientes a enero, mientras que del Reino Unido obtenemos la tasa preliminar del PIB para el cuarto trimestre y de los EE. UU. la universidad preliminar de Sentimiento del consumidor de Michigan para febrero.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD Gr\u00e1fico 4H<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-25.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six nine and resistance at zero point seven zero one, direction upwards    \" class=\"wp-image-55015\" title=\"aud-usd-gr\u00e1fico-cuatro-horas\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Soporte: 0.6900 (S1), 0.6800 (S2), 0.6720 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistencia: 0.7010 (R1), 0.7125 (R2), 0.7285 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Gr\u00e1fico 4H<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-26.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and thirty one point four and resistance at one hundred and thirty four point six, direction upwards   \" class=\"wp-image-55016\" title=\"usd-jpy-gr\u00e1fico-cuatro-horas\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Soporte: 131.40 (S1), 128.60 (S2), 126.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistencia: 134.60 (R1), 138.15 (R2), 140.50 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1995\" height=\"486\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55017\" title=\"benchmark-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1053\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-29.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55025\" title=\"table-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"791\" height=\"629\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-28.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55021\" title=\"morning-releases-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\"><i>Si tiene preguntas generales o comentarios relacionados con este art\u00edculo, env\u00ede un correo electr\u00f3nico directamente a nuestro equipo de investigaci\u00f3n a <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Descargo de responsabilidad:<br><i>Esta informaci\u00f3n no debe considerarse asesoramiento o recomendaci\u00f3n sobre inversiones, sino una comunicaci\u00f3n de marketing. IronFX no se hace responsable de datos o informaci\u00f3n de terceros en esta comunicaci\u00f3n, ya sea por referencia o enlace.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55004\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/es\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":813,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\",\"description\":\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/es\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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