{"id":14723,"date":"2020-05-28T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T12:17:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&p=14723"},"modified":"2024-05-13T12:44:55","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T09:44:55","slug":"usd-remains-firm-on-us-sino-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fa\/usd-remains-firm-on-us-sino-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"USD remains firm on US-Sino tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The USD remained firm<\/b>\u00a0against a number of its counterparts yesterday as worries about the\u00a0US-Sino tensions<\/b>\u00a0polished its safe-haven qualities. Tensions in the\u00a0US-Sino relationships<\/b>\u00a0tended to escalate, especially about\u00a0\u0647\u0646\u06af \u06a9\u0646\u06af<\/b>, as\u00a0the US<\/b>\u00a0is preparing a range of options to\u00a0sanction China<\/b>. Also the tensions at the\u00a0Sino-Indian border<\/b>\u00a0provide reasons for worries given the affiliation of India\u2019s PM Modi to the US. On the contrary, we find offer for intervention by the US President as at least ironic, given the current US-Sino tensions. We expect US-Sino tensions to escalate as\u00a0analyzed in prior reports<\/b><\/a>, as possible US sanctions are still looming and given the antagonism between the two countries. Also, we would like to repeat that the US-Sino tensions are not a Trump issue, as bipartisan support to the possible sanctions is present among US Congress members. Main victims of the situation seem to include the\u00a0NZD and the AUD<\/b>, which have substantial exposure to China. Characteristically a\u00a0Financial Times report<\/b>\u00a0which stated that coal traders expect\u00a0China to tighten import rules<\/b>, may have also weighed on the AUD yesterday. At the same time,\u00a0tensions between Australia and China<\/b>\u00a0are also escalating in regards to the pandemic, as Australia favors an independent inquiry into the origins of the pandemic. If the situation escalates, we could see the\u00a0USD strengthening<\/b>, while\u00a0AUD tends to weaken<\/b>. AUD\/USD dropped yesterday as it failed to break above the 0.6650 (R1) resistance line. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair and for it to change we would require a clear breaking of the upward trendline incepted since the 15th of May. Should the bulls actually remain in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we could see AUD\/USD breaking the 0.6650 (R1) line and aim for the 0.6750 (R2) level. If the bears take over, we could see the pair breaking the prementioned upward trendline, the 0.6565 (S1) line and aim for the 0.6490 (S2) level.<\/p>\n

EUR strengthens on fiscal stimulus<\/h3>\n

The common currency<\/b>\u00a0got some support yesterday as the EU announced a potential \u20ac750 billion stimulus plan on which the \u20ac500 billion are to be given as grants while the rest as loans, yet some northern countries seem to be negative to the plan. At the same time, Merkel\u2019s government is said to prepare its own \u201cshock and awe\u201d measures to put the\u00a0German economy<\/b>\u00a0back on track. On the monetary front, ECB President Lagarde stated that\u00a0Eurozone economy\u2019s performance is worse<\/b>\u00a0than expected and the ECB is now expecting GDP to contract by 8-12%, which may have been one of the bank\u2019s worst scenarios. We could see EUR traders being quite busy today and tomorrow as financial releases are to gauge the economy\u2019s performance and sentiment. At a more fundamental level, expectations for Germany\u2019s stimulus could raise hopes among\u00a0EUR traders<\/b>, while any disagreements about the EU Commission\u2019s stimulus from member states tend to curb such hopes.\u00a0EUR\/USD rose<\/b>\u00a0yesterday breaking above the 1.1010 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support, and maintained its position hovering above it for the Asian session. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as it seems to be guided by the upward trendline incepted since the 26th of May. In a buying momentum, we could see the pair breaking the 1.1060 (R1) line and aim for higher grounds. While if the selling interest prevails the market, the pair could break the 1.1010 (S1) line and aim for the 1.0950 (S2) level.<\/p>\n

Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n

In a busy Thursday, in the European session, we get Eurozone\u2019s business climate and economic sentiment for May as well as Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for May. In the American session, we get from the US, the durable goods rates for April, the 2nd estimate of the GDP rate for Q1, the latest initial jobless claims figure and the EIA crude oil inventories figure for the week ended. During Friday\u2019s Asian session, we get a slew of data from Japan, among which we highlight Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates for May as well as the preliminary output growth rate for April and the retail sales growth rate for the same month. As for speakers, please note that NY Fed President Williams and Philadelphia Fed President Harker are scheduled to speak today.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 0.6565 (S1), 0.6490 (S2), 0.6385 (S3)
\nResistance: 0.6650 (R1), 0.6750 (R2), 0.6840 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 1.1010 (S1), 1.0950 (S2), 1.0890 (S3)
\nResistance: 1.1060 (R1), 1.1120 (R2), 1.1180 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

\"benchmark-28-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

\"table-28-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

\"morning-releases-28-05-2020\"<\/p>\n

\u0633\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0626\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062a:<\/p>\n

\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u06cc\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0638\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0646\u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f \u060c \u0628\u0644\u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0648\u0636 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0628\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a. IronFX \u0647\u06cc\u0686 \u06af\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0633\u0626\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062a\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0647\u0627 \u06cc\u0627 \u0627\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0634\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0631\u062c\u0627\u0639 \u0648 \u06cc\u0627 \u067e\u06cc\u0648\u0646\u062f \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062f \u0646\u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f.<\/i><\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The USD remained firm\u00a0against a number of its counterparts yesterday as worries about the\u00a0US-Sino tensions\u00a0polished its safe-haven qualities. Tensions in<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUSD remains firm on US-Sino tensions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD firms amid escalating US-Sino tensions. AUD, NZD weaken due to China exposure. EUR gains on EU stimulus hopes. 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