{"id":14512,"date":"2020-03-26T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T10:23:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14512"},"modified":"2024-05-17T11:25:59","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T08:25:59","slug":"usd-weakens-as-labour-data-are-to-be-released","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/usd-weakens-as-labour-data-are-to-be-released\/","title":{"rendered":"USD weakens as labour data are to be released"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0<b>USD weakened yesterday<\/b>, against a\u00a0<b>number of other currencies<\/b>, as the market is in expectation of the\u00a0<b>initial jobless claims figure<\/b>\u00a0for the past week.\u00a0<b>Estimations run high<\/b>\u00a0et\u00a0<b>forecasts vary significantly<\/b>\u00a0as the\u00a0<b>coronavirus outbreak worsens<\/b>\u00a0in the US,\u00a0<b>businesses close<\/b>\u00a0et\u00a0<b>workers are laid off<\/b>. Analysts tend to note that\u00a0<b>bad numbers are already priced<\/b>\u00a0in by the market to a certain degree, yet the\u00a0<b>actual figures could be even worse<\/b>. Should there be a substantial\u00a0<b>surprise in store for the markets<\/b>, we may see\u00a0<b>volatility being very high<\/b>\u00a0as the news may prove to be difficult to digest. The\u00a0<b>severe measures<\/b>\u00a0which are\u00a0<b>increasingly being deployed<\/b>\u00a0in the US and\u00a0<b>limit personal movement<\/b>, could<b>\u00a0increase unemployment<\/b>\u00a0substantially and are expected to cause possibly a\u00a0<b>global recession<\/b>. As the coronavirus outbreak has not reached its peak in the US and restrictions could intensify, we expect\u00a0<b>labour data to worsen<\/b>\u00a0on a weekly basis over the next months and today\u2019s release could only signal the start. Also please note that the 2 trillion stimulus package\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-eases-as-fiscal-stimulus-package-is-eyed\"><b>as analysed yesterday<\/b><\/a>, was\u00a0<b>approved by the Senate<\/b>\u00a0and is now being passed to the\u00a0<b>House of Representatives<\/b>\u00a0for approval. Should it be approved today by the House, it would move on to President Trump in order to sign it into law. EUR\/USD continued to rise yesterday breaking consecutively the 1.0815 (S2) and the 1.0890 (S1) resistance lines, now turned to support. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as it remains above the upward trendline incepted since Monday the 23rd of the month. Should the bulls maintain in control over the pair\u2019s direction, we could see it breaking the 1.0955 (R1) line and aim for the 1.1010 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, we could see the pair breaking the 1.0890 (S1) line and aim for the 1.0815 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n<h3>Pound traders eye BoE interest rate decision<\/h3>\n<p>Today during the late European session, we get\u00a0<b>BoE\u2019s interest rate decision<\/b>\u00a0and the\u00a0<b>bank is expected to remain on hold at 0.10%<\/b>\u00a0as the bank proceeded with\u00a0<b>rate cuts twice in March<\/b>, the rate is already at\u00a0<b>historic lows<\/b>\u00a0and the bank had expressed an\u00a0<b>unwillingness to enter the negative area<\/b>. Please note that currently\u00a0<b>GBP OIS imply a 92.57% probability<\/b>\u00a0for the bank to\u00a0<b>remain on hold<\/b>\u00a0as expected. We expect that the bank may\u00a0<b>expand its QE or lending programs<\/b>\u00a0in order to\u00a0<b>support the UK economy<\/b>, as the UK government seems to be running on a\u00a0<b>budget deficit<\/b>, while at the same time the current account deficit is substantial. We expect that the extend of the expansion in the bank\u2019s\u00a0<b>QE program<\/b>\u00a0could be the key to the\u00a0<b>market\u2019s reaction<\/b>. Should BoE follow the Fed\u2019s footsteps, announcing a possibly open-ended QE, we could see the\u00a0<b>pound starting to weaken<\/b>. Also note that\u00a0<b>GBP weakened yesterday<\/b>\u00a0as worries about the\u00a0<b>coronavirus outbreak effects<\/b>\u00a0in the UK\u00a0<b>intensify<\/b>, with analysts intensifying their bearish outlooks after cable\u2019s short rally the previous days. Cable despite considerable volatility, landed where it had started the prior day, just below the 1.1880 (R1) resistance line. We could see the pair maintaining this sideways motion albeit financial releases from the US as well as BoE\u2019s interest rate decision could change its direction. Should cable\u2019s long positions be favored by the market, we could see it breaking the 1.1880 (R1) line and aim for the 1.2015 (R2) level. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market we could see it breaking the 1.1715 (S1) line and aim for the 1.1570 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>Today during the European session, we get Germany\u2019s GfK consumer sentiment indicator for April, UK\u2019s retail sales growth rates for February, while later on we get BoE\u2019s interest rate decision and at the same time CNB\u2019s interest rate decision. A bit later from the US we get the final GDP growth rate for Q4, albeit it could be overshadowed by the simultaneous release of the initial jobless claims figure. During, tomorrow\u2019s Asian session please note that Tokyo\u2019s inflation rates for March are due out.<\/p>\n<p><b>EUR\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/26-03-2020\/eur-usd-26-03-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point zero eight nine zero and resistance at one point zero nine five five, direction up\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.0890 (S1), 1.0815 (S2), 1.0775 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.0955 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1060 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>GBP\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/26-03-2020\/gbp-usd-26-03-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point one seven one five and resistance at one point one eight eight zero, direction sidways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.1715 (S1), 1.1570 (S2), 1.1450 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.1880 (R1), 1.2015 (R2), 1.2200 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/26-03-2020\/benchmark.png\" alt=\"benchmark-26-03-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/26-03-2020\/table.png\" alt=\"table-26-03-2020\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0USD weakened yesterday, against a\u00a0number of other currencies, as the market is in expectation of the\u00a0initial jobless claims figure\u00a0for the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium 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