{"id":15033,"date":"2020-08-11T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T16:06:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=15033"},"modified":"2025-12-17T15:40:57","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T13:40:57","slug":"pound-strengthens-slightly-ahead-of-financial-releases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/pound-strengthens-slightly-ahead-of-financial-releases\/","title":{"rendered":"Pound strengthens slightly ahead of financial releases"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The pound strengthened slightly yesterday\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-tries-to-stabilise-yet-situation-remains-uncertain\">against the USD<\/a>\u00a0and the common currency, ahead of\u00a0<b>UK\u2019s employment data for June<\/b>\u00a0and the GDP rate for Q2. Pound traders could keep a close eye on the release of UK\u2019s employment data, which are expected to show a deterioration of the UK employment market. It\u2019s characteristic that the rather good employment data so far may have been substantially supported by the UK governments furlough program, which artificially kept unemployment at rather low levels so far. However UK\u2019s finance minister Sunak stated that the program is not sustainable in the long run last week, while a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-08-09\/one-in-three-u-k-employers-plans-to-cut-jobs-in-this-quarter\">Bloomberg article<\/a>\u00a0stated that one in three U.K. employers plans to cut jobs in this quarter, increasing worries further. It should be noted that uncertainty is high for the pound given that also UK\u2019s GDP growth rate, which is due out tomorrow is expected to decline deep into the negatives for Q2, mirroring the adverse effect of the lockdown measures on the UK economy. Also the uncertainty of the\u00a0<b>Brexit negotiations in the fall could weigh on the GBP<\/b>. We expect financial releases to have the initiative for the pound\u2019s direction in the next two days and should there be no surprises we could see the pound weakening somewhat. GBP\/USD maintained a sideways movement yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, topped slightly the 1.3085 (S1) resistance line, turned to support for the time being. Technically the we see the pair maintaining its rangebound motion, yet financial releases in the next few days could create volatility for he pair and alter its current direction. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the 1.3085 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.3015 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n<h3>RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision<\/h3>\n<p>On Wednesday, during the Asian session, we get from New Zealand, RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping rates unchanged at +0.25% as NZD OIS imply a probability of 97.70% for such a scenario. If the rate remains unchanged, the market\u2019s attention could turn to the accompanying statement and Governor Orr\u2019s press conference (03:00,GMT). The recent employment data for Q2, sent some mixed signals for\u00a0<b>New Zealand\u2019s economy as the unemployment rate dropped<\/b>, which was quite positive, while the job growth rate slowed which was a bit worrisome, also note that the CPI rate for Q2 slowed down considerably reaching +1.5% yoy. Given the bank\u2019s dual mandate to watch over both, unemployment and inflation, we could see the bank choosing to adopt a dovish tone, supportive for New Zealand\u2019s economy and we would not be surprised to see the bank acting proactively by raising its QE program. We tend to see risks tilted to the bearish side for the Kiwi from the event, unless the bank decides to include a hint of optimism in its statement. NZD\/USD dropped slightly yesterday yet during today\u2019s Asian session spiked as it bounced on the 0.6580 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain a bias for a sideways motion yet RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision could substantially affect the pair\u2019s direction. Should the bulls be in charge of NZD\/USD\u2019s direction, we could see the pair breaking the 0.6665 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.6755 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, we could see NZD\/USD breaking the 0.6580 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.6500 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>Today in the European session, we highlight UK\u2019s employment data for June and Germany\u2019s ZEW indicators for August. In the American session, we get Canada\u2019s house starts for July, the US PPI rates also for July and just before the Asian session starts, we get the API crude oil inventories figure for the past week. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we besides RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision, we also note Australia\u2019s wage price index for Q2. As for speakers, please note that Richmond Fed President Barkin and San Francisco Fed President Daly are scheduled to speak today.<\/p>\n<p><b>GBP\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/11-08-2020\/gbp-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point three zero eight five and resistance at one point three one five zero, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.3085 (S1), 1.3015 (S2), 1.2945 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.3150 (R1), 1.3210 (R2), 1.3285 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>NZD\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/11-08-2020\/nzd-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point six five eight zero and resistance at zero point six six six five, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 0.6580 (S1), 0.6500 (S2), 0.6400 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 0.6665 (R1), 0.6755 (R2), 0.6840 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/11-08-2020\/benchmark.png\" alt=\"benchmark-11-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/11-08-2020\/table.png\" alt=\"table-11-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/8-August-20\/11-08-2020\/morning-releases.png\" alt=\"morning-releases-11-08-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Avertissement :<\/p>\n<p><i><i>Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The pound strengthened slightly yesterday\u00a0against the USD\u00a0and the common currency, ahead of\u00a0UK\u2019s employment data for June\u00a0and the GDP rate for<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15033","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pound 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