{"id":35666,"date":"2022-08-04T08:45:50","date_gmt":"2022-08-04T05:45:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=35666"},"modified":"2025-12-10T10:11:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T08:11:09","slug":"equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?"},"content":{"rendered":"

US stock markets<\/strong> were on the rise<\/strong> since our last<\/strong> report<\/strong>, with all three<\/strong> major<\/strong> equities<\/strong> indexes<\/strong>, being in the greens<\/strong>. Yet we must note that the ascending<\/strong> course<\/strong> sems to have been at least temporarily<\/strong> halted<\/strong>. Today we are about to take a more<\/strong> fondamental<\/strong> approach<\/strong> which could have moved<\/strong> the markets<\/strong> in the past<\/strong> few<\/strong> days<\/strong> and move them in the coming<\/strong> days<\/strong>. For a rounder<\/strong> view<\/strong> the report<\/strong> is to finish<\/strong> with a technique<\/strong> analysis<\/strong> of Dow<\/strong> Jones<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We make a first stop<\/strong> on last Wednesday<\/strong> the 27\u00a0 <\/sup> of the month and the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> interest<\/strong> rate<\/strong> decision<\/strong>. As was widely<\/strong> expected<\/strong>le Fed<\/strong> delivered<\/strong> a 75 basis points rate hike<\/strong> unanimously<\/strong> and in its accompanying<\/strong> statement<\/strong> the FOMC<\/strong> kept a rather confident<\/strong>, hawkish<\/strong> tone<\/strong>  citing<\/strong> a tight<\/strong> US<\/strong> employment<\/strong> market<\/strong> as well as inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> in the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong>. Fed<\/strong> Chairman<\/strong> Powell<\/strong>, in his press<\/strong> conference<\/strong>, which may have been the market<\/strong> moving<\/strong> element<\/strong> of the event<\/strong>, stated that inflation<\/strong> is much<\/strong> too<\/strong> haute<\/strong> et wage<\/strong> growth<\/strong> is elevated<\/strong>, while there is still upward<\/strong> pressure<\/strong> on inflation<\/strong>. Yet Powell<\/strong> also stated that the size<\/strong> of the next<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hike<\/strong> is going to be dependent<\/strong> on the data<\/strong> to be released<\/strong>, which may imply that the next<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hike<\/strong> may not<\/strong> be as<\/strong> wide<\/strong> as<\/strong> 75 basis points<\/strong>, yet the bank<\/strong> will not<\/strong> hesitate<\/strong> to repeat<\/strong> it<\/strong> if necessary<\/strong>. At the same time the Fed\u2019s Chairman<\/strong> stated that he does not<\/strong> believe<\/strong> that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> is currently<\/strong> in a recession<\/strong> as the economy<\/strong> is doing well<\/strong> in a number<\/strong> of areas<\/strong> especially the employment<\/strong> market<\/strong>. All of the above tended to provide some support<\/strong> for US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong>, as the prospect of an easing<\/strong> of the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hiking<\/strong> path<\/strong> could allow for some opportunities<\/strong> for growth<\/strong> for the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong>. Even yesterday Tuesday we had St. Louis Fed President Bullard<\/strong> stating his belief that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> can<\/strong> avoid<\/strong> a recession<\/strong>, while San Francisco Fed President Daly<\/strong> implied that he Fed<\/strong> is to continue to tighten<\/strong> its monetary policy<\/strong> in order to curb inflationary pressures<\/strong> in the US economy<\/strong>. Despite Powell\u2019s<\/strong> sayings<\/strong> the Le PIB<\/strong> advance<\/strong> growth<\/strong> rate for Q2<\/strong> was telling a different<\/strong> story<\/strong> on Thursday<\/strong> the 28\u00a0 <\/sup>, as it failed<\/strong> to exit<\/strong> the negative<\/strong> territory<\/strong> et signalled<\/strong> that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> is in a recession<\/strong>, at least technically<\/strong>, given that it remained<\/strong> in the negatives<\/strong> for another<\/strong> quarter<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also on a fundamental level<\/strong>, we cannot miss out on commenting<\/strong> on the escalation<\/strong> of tensions<\/strong> in the US-Sino relationships<\/strong>. It should be noted that US House speaker Nancy Pelosi<\/strong> visited Taiwan<\/strong>, the first of a high-ranking US politician<\/strong> in the past 25 years and the visit<\/strong>, causing<\/strong> an enraged<\/strong> response<\/strong> from China<\/strong>. The issue<\/strong> intensified<\/strong> market<\/strong> worries<\/strong> for the possible<\/strong> adverse<\/strong> effects<\/strong> on the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> causing US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong> to stall<\/strong> and even drop<\/strong> a bit<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The next big test for US stockmarkets<\/strong> <\/a>is expected to be the US employment report for July<\/strong>, which is due out on Friday<\/strong>. The NFP figure<\/strong> is expected to drop<\/strong> if compared to June<\/strong>, while the unemployment<\/strong> rate<\/strong> is expected to remain<\/strong> unchanged<\/strong> at rather low levels<\/strong>. Overall the US<\/strong> employment market<\/strong> seems to remain<\/strong> tight<\/strong> should the actual<\/strong> rates<\/strong> et figures<\/strong> meet their respective<\/strong> forecasts<\/strong>, albeit the tightening<\/strong> seems to be losing<\/strong> some<\/strong> steam<\/strong>. Please note that at the time<\/strong> of the release<\/strong> there may be increased<\/strong> Volatilit\u00e9<\/strong> for US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong>, so some caution<\/strong> is advisable<\/strong>. Also please note that the earnings season<\/strong> is still on<\/strong> et the releases<\/strong> may sway<\/strong> market<\/strong> opinion<\/strong>. Should the earnings<\/strong> reports<\/strong> be better<\/strong> than<\/strong> expected<\/strong> we may see the positive<\/strong>, risk<\/strong> on<\/strong> attitude<\/strong> on behalf of investors<\/strong> intensifying<\/strong> et vice<\/strong> versa<\/strong>. We note the release of EBAY<\/strong>, Booking<\/strong> et Moderna<\/strong> today Wednesday,  Alibaba<\/strong> (#BABA), GoPro<\/strong> (#GPRO),Dropbox<\/strong>, New Fortress Energy<\/strong> (#NFE), LYFT<\/strong> on Thursday and CGC<\/strong> on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US 30 Cash, Daily Chart<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Technical<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Support: 32200 (S1), 31170 (S2), 29850 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 33100 (R1), 34150 (R2), 35300 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones<\/strong> corrected<\/strong> lower<\/strong> yesterday yet remained between the 33100<\/strong> (R1) and the 32200<\/strong> (S1) levels. We tend to maintain<\/strong> a bullish<\/strong> outlook<\/strong> for the index as long as it remains<\/strong> above<\/strong> the upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> incepted since the 15\u00a0 <\/sup> of July. Please note that the price<\/strong> action<\/strong> tested the prementioned<\/strong> upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> today<\/strong>, yet at the same time the RSI<\/strong> indicator<\/strong> seems to remain<\/strong> comfortably<\/strong> near<\/strong> the reading of 70<\/strong> implying some bullish<\/strong> sentiment<\/strong>. For the time being it seems that the distance<\/strong> created<\/strong> by the correction<\/strong> lower<\/strong> between the price-action<\/strong> and the upper<\/strong> Bollinger<\/strong> Band<\/strong> could allow buyers<\/strong> for some extra<\/strong> room<\/strong> to manoeuvre<\/strong>. Should the bulls<\/strong> actually maintain<\/strong> control<\/strong> over the index\u2019s<\/strong> direction<\/strong> we may see Dow<\/strong> Jones<\/strong> breaking the 33100<\/strong> (R1) resistance line and take aim of the 34150<\/strong> (R2) resistance<\/strong> level. Should on the other hand the bears<\/strong> take over, we may see the index<\/strong>, breaking the prementioned<\/strong> upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> the 32200<\/strong> (S1) support<\/strong> line and aim for the 31170<\/strong> (S2) support<\/strong> level.    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avertissement :
Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US stockmarkets were on the rise since our last report, with all three major equities indexes, being in the greens.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nStocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35666\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":866,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"description\":\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\""Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners' needs. 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