{"id":63675,"date":"2023-05-25T11:20:13","date_gmt":"2023-05-25T08:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=63675"},"modified":"2024-07-10T15:17:36","modified_gmt":"2024-07-10T12:17:36","slug":"fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\/","title":{"rendered":"FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain probably on safe haven inflows as the market worries for a possible default of the US government on its debt seemed to intensify. It should be noted that Republican lawmakers are to leave for a long weekend today, which lowers the chances for an agreement between the White House and&nbsp; House of Representatives in the next few days. Nevertheless, House Speaker McCarthy stated that he could get a deal on raising the Debt ceiling \u201cin principle\u201d by this weekend. The issue continues to tantalise the markets and should market worries intensify further, we may see the USD enjoying more safe haven inflows, while riskier assets such as US equities may extend their losses and vice versa. Please note that the ongoing negotiations and the lack of common ground, caused Fitch to place the \u201cAAA\u201d rating watch negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"FOMC hints that their aggressive rate hiking path may be coming to an end\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/LwUgf9FKv50?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the monetary front we note that the Fed\u2019s meeting minutes revealed that Fed policymakers tended to lean less towards the hawkish side as they seemed to align in that future rate hikes are becoming less likely intensifying market sentiment for a possible pause of the rate hiking path. The release tended to weaken the USD, yet the market\u2019s insecurities about a possible default quickly reversed any losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY continued to rise yesterday approaching the 139.90 (R1) resistance line. We maintain a&nbsp; bullish outlook for the pair as long as the price action remains above the upwards trendline incepted since the 11<sup>\u00a0&nbsp;<\/sup> of May. Please note that the RSI indicator has reached the reading of 70, highlighting the bullish sentiment of the market currently for the pair, yet may also imply that the pair is nearing overbought levels and may be ripe for a correction lower. Should the bulls maintain control over USD\/JPY we may see the pair breaking the 139.90 (R1) resistance line clearly with the next possible stop for the bulls being placed on the 142.20 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see the pair, reversing course, breaking the prementioned upward trendline in a first sign of a trend reversal and aim if not break the 137.55 (S1) line.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last but not least we would like to note the release of Turkey\u2019s CBT interest rate decision and the bank is expected to remain on hold with the weekly repo rate at 8.5%. It should be noted that inflation in Turkey continues to run at high levels, currently at 43% yoy and the unorthodox practice of Turkish President Erdogan who has a firm grip over the central bank, to keep interest rates low, tends to weigh on the TRY which has reached a new all-time low against the USD in recent days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/TRY continued its upward movement nearing the 20.0000 (R1) line. We maintain our bullish outlook for the pair given the upward trendline characterising the pair\u2019s price action. The RSI indicator has surpassed the reading of 70 and underscores the bullish prospects of the pair, yet also highlights the risk that the pair is at overbought levels and may be correcting lower anytime soon. Should buyers retain control the pair comes into uncharted waters and we may see its price action breaking the 20.0000 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 20.5000 (R2) level. Should a selling interest be expressed by the market, we may see the pair reversing course breaking the prementioned upward trendline and aim for the 19.6080 (S1) support line. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Autres faits marquants de la journ\u00e9e :<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session, we note the release of Sweden\u2019s Unemployment rate for April, Germany\u2019s GFK Consumer sentiment and France\u2019s Business Climate figures for June and May respectively. During the American session, we note the release of Canada\u2019s Business barometer figure for May, the US Weekly Jobless claims figure and the US 2nd GDP Estimate rate for Q1. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we highlight Japan\u2019s Tokyo CPI rate for May and Australia\u2019s Final Retail sales for April. On the monetary front, we note ECB Vice President De Guindo is due to speak, followed by Bundesbank Chief Nagel and later on in the day we note Richmond Fed President Barkin and Boston Fed President Collins who are due to speak. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>Graphique de l\u2019USD\/JPY H4<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-121.png\" alt=\"one hundred and thirty-seven point fifty-five and resistance at one hundred and thirty-nine point fifteen, direction upwards\" class=\"wp-image-63676\" title=\"graphique-d\u2019usd-jpy-quatre-heures\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 137.55 (S1), 135.15 (S2), 132.85 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 139.90 (R1), 142.20 (R2), 145.10 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-try-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/TRY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-122.png\" alt=\"support at nineteen point six zero eight and resistance at twenty direction upwards\" class=\"wp-image-63677\" title=\"usd-try-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 19.6080 (S1),19.0000 (S2), 19.4500 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 20.0000 (R1), 19.0000 (R2), 18.4500 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-123.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63678\" title=\"benchmark-25-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1062\" height=\"635\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-126.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63689\" title=\"table-25-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1583\" height=\"1124\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-124.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63679\" title=\"morning-releases-25-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Si vous avez des questions d'ordre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ou des commentaires concernant cet article, veuillez envoyer un email directement \u00e0 notre \u00e9quipe de recherche \u00e0 l'adresse <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avertissement :<br><i>Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain probably on safe haven inflows as the market worries for a possible default of the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD tended to gain probably on safe haven inflows as the market worries for a possible default of the US government\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63675\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The USD tended to gain probably on safe haven inflows as the market worries for a possible default of the US government\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/fr\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-05-25T08:20:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-10T12:17:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-05-25T08:20:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-10T12:17:36+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":807,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/\",\"name\":\"FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-05-25T08:20:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-10T12:17:36+00:00\",\"description\":\"The USD tended to gain probably on safe haven inflows as the market worries for a possible default of the US government\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/fomc-indicates-potential-pause-sooner-rather-than-later\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"FOMC indicates potential pause sooner rather than later\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/fr\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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