{"id":14528,"date":"2020-03-31T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T10:33:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14528"},"modified":"2024-05-17T11:03:30","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T08:03:30","slug":"usd-strengthens-yet-uncertainty-remains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/usd-strengthens-yet-uncertainty-remains\/","title":{"rendered":"USD strengthens yet uncertainty remains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5229\u00a0<b>USD strengthened<\/b>\u00a0against a number of its counterparts yesterday, yet\u00a0<b>uncertainty remained<\/b>. Analysts tend to note that\u00a0<b>Japanese investors<\/b>\u00a0\u3001\u00a0<b>companies<\/b>\u00a0rushed to\u00a0<b>cover the shortage of USD<\/b>\u00a0before their\u00a0<b>fiscal year<\/b>\u00a0end and as today is the\u00a0<b>last trading day for Q1<\/b>\u00a0also for investors elsewhere. The issue could create wider swings than usual yet we tend to retain the view that the\u00a0<b>main fundamental issue<\/b>\u00a0affecting the markets remains the\u00a0<b>coronavirus outbreak<\/b>\u00a0and its\u00a0<b>adverse economic effects<\/b>. It should be noted that Japan\u2019s economy minister Nishimura stated that a\u00a0<b>big economy package<\/b>\u00a0is being prepared and should the\u00a0<b>fiscal stimulus impress the markets<\/b>, we could see\u00a0<b>JPY getting some support<\/b>. Japanese data seemed to have little effect on JPY, yet industrial output seems to remain at low levels and\u00a0<b>\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc<\/b>\u00a0tend to\u00a0<b>focus<\/b>\u00a0on tomorrow\u2019s\u00a0<b>Tankan data<\/b>. USD\/JPY rose yesterday, breaking the 107.75 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. As the pair also broke the downward trendline incepted since the 25th of March, we switch our bearish outlook for the pair, initially in favor of a possible sideways movement. Should the pair\u2019s long positions be favored by the market, we could see it breaking the 109.10 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 110.60 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n<h3>AUD remains flat despite good Chinese numbers<\/h3>\n<p>\u5229\u00a0<b>Aussie remained rather flat<\/b>\u00a0in yesterday\u2019s trading\u00a0<b>against the USD<\/b>\u00a0after the stellar\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/yemen-houthis-aim-at-riyadh-once-again\"><b>data of China\u2019s Mfg PMI<\/b><\/a>\u00a0for March. Despite the indicator showing\u00a0<b>growth once again<\/b>\u00a0for China\u2019s\u00a0<b>crucial manufacturing activity<\/b>, substantial\u00a0<b>support<\/b>\u00a0seemed to be\u00a0<b>missing for the AUD<\/b>\u00a0as\u00a0<b>investors<\/b>\u00a0may still be\u00a0<b>skeptical about the rebound<\/b>. Worries tend to concentrate on the return of orders to the\u00a0<b>Chinese manufacturing sector<\/b>\u00a0as clients in\u00a0<b>Europe and the US<\/b>\u00a0may present\u00a0<b>little demand<\/b>\u00a0at the current stage as the coronavirus has still a firm grip over Europe and spreads fast in the US. On Monday the\u00a0<b>People&#8217;s Bank of China<\/b>\u00a0unexpectedly\u00a0<b>cut its reverse repo rate<\/b>\u00a0by the most in almost five years to\u00a0<b>relieve pressure on the economy<\/b>. It should be noted though that\u00a0<b>WHO issued a stark warning<\/b>\u00a0that the\u00a0<b>coronavirus epidemic<\/b>\u00a0is\u00a0<b>far from over in Asia<\/b>, increasing worries. The heavy\u00a0<b>selling pressure<\/b>\u00a0seems to have\u00a0<b>reversed for AUD<\/b>, yet as uncertainty for the coronavirus continues to increase, the outlook remains blurred. AUD\/USD continued to test our (R1) 0.6180 level but did not breach it. That level was last tested on the 16th of March and currently a triangle seems to be forming between the upward trendline incepted since the 19th of March and the 0.6180 (R1) resistance line. We expect the pair to break the (R1) should it continue to remain above the prementioned upward trendline, probably today. Should the bulls actually maintain control over the pair, we could see it breaking the 0.6180 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.6280 (R2) resistance hurdle. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the prementioned downward trendline and the 0.6075 (S1) support line aiming for lower levels.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>In the European session we get UK\u2019s GDP growth rates for Q4, Germany\u2019s unemployment data for March and Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for the same month. In the American session, we get the US consumer confidence indicator for March. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s Tankan indexes for Q1, Australia\u2019s building approvals and China\u2019s Caixin Mfg PMI for March.<\/p>\n<p><b>USD\/JPY 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/31-03-2020\/usd-jpy-31-03-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one hundred and seven point seventy five and resistance at one hundred and nine point ten, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 107.75 (S1), 106.60 (S2), 105.30 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 109.10 (R1), 110.60 (R2), 112.15 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>AUD\/USD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/31-03-2020\/aud-usd-31-03-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point six zero seven five and resistance at zero point six one eight zero, direction up\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 0.6075 (S1), 0.5980 (S2), 0.5900 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 0.6180 (R1), 0.6280 (R2), 0.6465 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/31-03-2020\/benchmark.png\" alt=\"benchmark-31-03-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/3-March-20\/31-03-2020\/table.png\" alt=\"table-31-03-2020\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0USD strengthened\u00a0against a number of its counterparts yesterday, yet\u00a0uncertainty remained. Analysts tend to note that\u00a0Japanese investors\u00a0and\u00a0companies\u00a0rushed to\u00a0cover the shortage of<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD strengthens yet uncertainty remains<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD strengthens amid Q1 trading closure, Japanese demand for USD. 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