{"id":14535,"date":"2020-04-01T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T10:36:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14535"},"modified":"2024-05-17T11:04:13","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T08:04:13","slug":"usd-jpy-strengthen-in-the-face-of-global-slowdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/usd-jpy-strengthen-in-the-face-of-global-slowdown\/","title":{"rendered":"USD, JPY strengthen in the face of global slowdown"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5229\u00a0<b>USD<\/b>\u00a0as well as the\u00a0<b>JPY strengthened<\/b>\u00a0as markets prepared for a\u00a0<b>global slowdown<\/b>\u00a0in the last trading day of Q1. Yesterday the\u00a0<b>Fed<\/b>\u00a0widened the\u00a0<b>ability of foreign central banks<\/b>\u00a0to access\u00a0<b>USD<\/b>\u00a0by allowing the\u00a0<b>conversion of US treasuries<\/b>\u00a0for\u00a0<b>overnight USD loans<\/b>. The idea is that\u00a0<b>central banks<\/b>\u00a0would be allowed to use\u00a0<b>Fed\u2019s securities<\/b>\u00a0as collateral for\u00a0<b>quick overnight loans<\/b>\u00a0at an\u00a0<b>interest of 0.25%<\/b>, and despite the\u00a0<b>loans being for one day<\/b>, they can be rolled over as needed, as per a Reuter\u2019s report. The\u00a0<b>Fed\u2019s<\/b>\u00a0move\u00a0<b>weakened the USD<\/b>, however the\u00a0<b>greenback firmed<\/b>\u00a0afterwards utilizing\u00a0<b>safe haven qualities<\/b>, as the outlook for the global economy is bleak. It was characteristic that Japanese manufacturers turned pessimistic in Q1 of the year, as the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-strengthens-yet-uncertainty-remains\"><b>Tankan Big Manufacturers index<\/b><\/a>\u00a0turned into the negatives for the\u00a0<b>first time in seven years<\/b>, while\u00a0<b>US employment data<\/b>\u00a0are expected to take a\u00a0<b>negative turn<\/b>. Analysts tend to warn that the\u00a0<b>economic decline<\/b>\u00a0in the\u00a0<b>2nd quarter<\/b>\u00a0for the\u00a0<b>US economy<\/b>\u00a0could be even\u00a0<b>worse than initially estimated<\/b>. Should there be an even wider risk-off sentiment for the markets we could see the\u00a0<b>USD strengthening further<\/b>\u00a0as a safe haven. USD\/JPY dropped yesterday breaking the 107.75 (S1) support line, yet during the Asian session today seemed to rebound above it. The pair seems to be in a sideways motion, yet the safe-haven qualities of the JPY could put the pair under pressure. Should the bears be in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we could see USD\/JPY breaking the 107.75 (S1) and aim for the 106.60 (S2) support line. Should the bulls take over, we could see the pair continuing the Asian session\u2019s correction aiming if not breaking the 109.10 (R1) resistance line and continue higher.<\/p>\n<h3>CAD strengthens on oil market news<\/h3>\n<p><b>Commodity currencies<\/b>\u00a0such as the\u00a0<b>AUD<\/b>\u00a0and the\u00a0<b>NZD weakened against the USD<\/b>, however the\u00a0<b>CAD strengthened<\/b>\u00a0as it got a\u00a0<b>boost from oil market<\/b>\u00a0news. The\u00a0<b>Loonie drew support<\/b>\u00a0from data which showed that the\u00a0<b>Canadian economy grew<\/b>\u00a0in January, yet the current situation may render the data as irrelevant. Also, it should be noted that the news about efforts being made to start\u00a0<b>talks between<\/b>\u00a0the\u00a0<b>US and Russia<\/b>\u00a0and stabilize the oil market\u00a0<b>strengthened the CAD<\/b>. On the flip side the fact that\u00a0<b>OPEC members<\/b>\u00a0failed to agree on a meeting to discuss the\u00a0<b>oil market collapse<\/b>\u00a0tended to\u00a0<b>weaken oil prices<\/b>. It should be noted that OPEC oil producers will be\u00a0<b>producing oil at will<\/b>\u00a0from today onwards as agreed\u00a0<b>maximum production levels<\/b>\u00a0are\u00a0<b>no longer in effect<\/b>. Should oil prices\u00a0<b>remain weak<\/b>\u00a0\u307e\u305f\u306f\u00a0<b>weaken even further<\/b>\u00a0we could see the outlook for\u00a0<b>CAD darkening<\/b> once again. USD\/CAD dropped breaking the 1.4175 (R1) support line now turned to resistance and continued lower only to bounce on the 1.4050 (S1) support line. We maintain a bias for a sideways motion technically as the pair\u2019s prices seem to remain in a channel. Should the pair\u2019s long positions be favoured by the market, we could see it breaking the 1.4175 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.4290 (R2) resistance hurdle. On the flip side, should the pair come under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the 1.4050 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.3970 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>In the European session we get Germany\u2019s retail sales for February, along with Germany\u2019s, Eurozone\u2019s and UK\u2019s final Manufacturing PMI readings for March. In the American session, we get from the US the ADP employment figure for March, the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the EIA crude oil inventories figure. As for speakers please note that Boston Fed President Rosengren speaks.<\/p>\n<p><b>USD\/JPY 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/4-April-20\/01-04-2020\/usd-jpy-01-04-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one hundred and seven point seventy five and resistance at one hundred and nine point ten, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 107.75 (S1), 106.60 (S2), 105.30 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 109.10 (R1), 110.60 (R2), 112.15 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>USD\/CAD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/4-April-20\/01-04-2020\/usd-cad-01-04-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point four zero five zero and resistance at one point four one seven five, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.4050 (S1), 1.3970 (S2), 1.3865 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.4175 (R1), 1.4290 (R2),1.4400 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/4-April-20\/01-04-2020\/benchmark.png\" alt=\"benchmark-01-04-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/4-April-20\/01-04-2020\/table.png\" alt=\"table-01-04-2020\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0USD\u00a0as well as the\u00a0JPY strengthened\u00a0as markets prepared for a\u00a0global slowdown\u00a0in the last trading day of Q1. Yesterday the\u00a0Fed\u00a0widened the\u00a0ability of<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD, JPY strengthen in the face of global slowdown<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD and JPY strengthen amid global economic slowdown concerns. 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