{"id":14747,"date":"2020-06-01T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T12:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14747"},"modified":"2024-05-13T13:25:42","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T10:25:42","slug":"usd-weakens-after-trumps-briefing-and-unrest-in-the-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/usd-weakens-after-trumps-briefing-and-unrest-in-the-us\/","title":{"rendered":"USD weakens after Trump\u2019s briefing and unrest in the US"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5229\u00a0<b>USD weakened<\/b>\u00a0against most of its counterparts as extensive unrest is present in the US after a police officer killed a man in Minneapolis. Despite the market\u2019s immunity to the violence spreading, we tend to maintain some worries for further escalation. Also, Trump\u2019s press conference on Friday about China didn\u2019t seem to deter the markets as stock-markets tended to rebound after a slight drop on Friday. At his speech, the\u00a0<b>US President stated that the US would<\/b>\u00a0withdraw from the WHO and that the special status enjoyed by Hong Kong is to be reversed, as all tariffs and sanctions that apply for Mainland China are to apply for Hong Kong as well, as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-weakens-before-trumps-response-to-china\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><b>analyzed in Friday\u2019s report<\/b><\/a>. It should be mentioned though that despite headlines mentioning that the US President announced unprecedented action against China, we consider most of the US actions directed at Hong Kong and to a lesser degree to China as such. Also, the measures remain somewhat vague hence there may be some room for negotiations between the two countries, while other analysts consider that the\u00a0<b>US President did not implement the harshest measures available.<\/b>\u00a0It remains to be seen how fast and how wide, the US President\u2019s words are to transform into actual policies against China. The situation remains tense as China\u2019s response is expected and should the situation escalate further, we could see safe-haven flows present in the markets. For the time being, it should be mentioned that investors seemed to concentrate more on the reopening of the economy and the prospect of recovery. EUR\/USD continues to rise and during today\u2019s Asian session broke the 1.1120 (S1) line, now turned to support. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as it remains above the recently steepened upward trendline incepted, since the 26th of the month. Should the pair find fresh buying orders along its path, we could see it aiming if not breaking the 1.1180 (R1) line. In a selling momentum, we could see the pair breaking the prementioned upward trendline the 1.1120 (S1) line and aim for the 1.1060 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision<\/h3>\n<p>Tomorrow during the late Asian session, we get\u00a0<b>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision<\/b>\u00a0and the bank is widely expected to remain on hold at +0.25%. It should be noted that AUD OIS imply a probability of 96.95% for the bank remaining on hold, while at the same time its implied that the market expects rates to remain unchanged at the same level until the end of the year. Any further monetary easing could be implemented through the bank\u2019s QE program, yet probably unlikely at this stage. We expect RBA to maintain its expansionary monetary policies until progress is made towards full employment and the bank is confident on inflation. The event could have a bullish effect on the AUD, should some optimism escape the bank\u2019s accompanying statement. AUD\/USD continued its ascent breaking the 0.6650 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as it remains above the upward trendline incepted since the 15th of May. If the bulls maintain control, AUD\/USD could break the 0.6750 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.6840 (R2) level. If the bears prevail, the pair could break the prementioned upward trendline, the 0.6650 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.6565 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>Today we get the final manufacturing PMI\u2019s for May of Germany, the UK and Canada, yet the most interest is expected to be with the release of the US ISM manufacturing PMI for the same month.<\/p>\n<h3>\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u6307\u6570\u767a\u8868<\/h3>\n<p>On Wednesday, we get Australia\u2019s real GDP rates for Q1, the US ISM manufacturing PMI for May and BoC\u2019s interest rate decision. On Thursday, we get Australia\u2019s retail sales for April, ECB\u2019s interest rate decision and the US initial jobless claims figure. On Friday, we get the US employment report for May as well as Canada\u2019s employment data for the same month.<\/p>\n<p><b>EUR\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/6-June-20\/01-06-2020\/eur-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point one one two zero and resistance at one point one one eight zero, direction upwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.0890 (S1), 1.0835 (S2), 1.0775 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.0960 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1060 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>AUD\/USD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/6-June-20\/01-06-2020\/aud-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point six six five zero and resistance at zero six seven five zero, direction upwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.2015 (S1), 1.1815 (S2), 1.1635 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.2200 (R1), 1.2400 (R2), 1.2580 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/6-June-20\/01-06-2020\/benchmark.JPG\" alt=\"benchmark-01-06-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/6-June-20\/01-06-2020\/table.JPG\" alt=\"table-01-06-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/6-June-20\/01-06-2020\/morning-releases.JPG\" alt=\"morning-releases-01-06-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u514d\u8cac\u4e8b\u9805\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><i>\u672c\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u8a00\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u63a8\u5968\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4e00\u74b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002IronFX\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7b2c\u4e09\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3082\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0USD weakened\u00a0against most of its counterparts as extensive unrest is present in the US after a police officer killed a<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD weakens after Trump\u2019s briefing and unrest in the US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD weakened against most of its counterparts as extensive unrest is present in the US after a police officer killed a man in Minneapolis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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