{"id":55004,"date":"2023-02-06T10:05:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-06T08:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=55004"},"modified":"2025-10-17T09:57:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T06:57:25","slug":"rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u304c\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as the NFP figure instead of dropping, rose to reach&nbsp; 517k and the unemployment rate ticked down to 3.4%, showcasing the tightness of the US employment market. The release highlights the possibility of a hawkish Fed and understandably weakened riskier assets such as US stockmarkets which dropped. Also, we note that during today\u2019s Asian session, reports surfaced that BoJ Deputy Governor Amamiya may be the one to replace BoJ Governor Kuroda in April and that the Japanese Government is considering this scenario. The reports have not been reaffirmed from the Japanese Government, yet such a scenario could weaken JPY given that Deputy Governor was regarded as being one of the doves in BoJ. Tomorrow, during the Asian session, we highlight RBA\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points and AUD OIS imply a probability of 91% for such a scenario to materialize, while the rest imply that the bank may remain on hold at 3.10%. It should be noted that the acceleration of the headline CPI rate on a year-on-year level and the relatively tight employment market despite the drop of the employment change figure into the negatives for December, adds more pressure on the bank to tighten its monetary policy. Should the bank proceed with a 25 basis points rate hike as expected, we may see the Aussie getting some support, yet market attention is expected to turn towards Governor Lowe\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the statement maintain a clear, confident, hawkish tone, we may see AUD gaining further. Should the bank express doubts about the possible tightening of its monetary policy the rate hike may turn to a dovish hike weakening the Aussie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n <iframe title=\"RBA \u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u304c\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u308b\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pJoaOFrNGlM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u660e\u65e5\u306e\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u6642\u9593\u3067\u306f\u3001RBA\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u304c\u3042\u308a\u300125bp\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u4e88\u60f3\u3055\u308c\u3001AUD OIS\u306f\u305d\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u5b9f\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u309291\uff05\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306f3.10\uff05\u3067\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304b\u308c\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3068\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7d9a\u5831\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\u304c\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4\u3067\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u300112\u6708\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u304c\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9\u306b\u8ee2\u3058\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u96c7\u7528\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u903c\u8feb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3078\u306e\u5727\u529b\u3092\u5f37\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u7559\u610f\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u304c\u4e88\u60f3\u901a\u308a25bp\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u8e0f\u307f\u5207\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u30dd\u30f3\u30c9\u306f\u3044\u304f\u3089\u304b\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u95a2\u5fc3\u306f\u30ed\u30a6\u7dcf\u88c1\u306e\u58f0\u660e\u6587\u306b\u5411\u3051\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u58f0\u660e\u6587\u304c\u660e\u78ba\u3067\u81ea\u4fe1\u306b\u6e80\u3061\u305f\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306a\u30c8\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306b\u7591\u5ff5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5b89\u306b\u8ee2\u3058\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u6750\u6599<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b27\u5dde\u6642\u9593\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u306e12\u6708\u9271\u5de5\u696d\u53d7\u6ce8\u3001\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u570f\u306e2\u6708Sentix\u6307\u6570\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u306e1\u6708\u5efa\u8a2d\u696dPMI\u3001\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u306e1\u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\u901f\u5831\u5024\u306e\u767a\u8868\u304c\u4e88\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u767a\u8868\u306f\u6570\u65e5\u5f8c\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u6708\u66dc\u306e\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u6642\u9593\u3067\u306f\u3001RBA\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u3066\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u304b\u308912\u6708\u306e\u8cbf\u6613\u7d71\u8a08\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u304b\u3089\u540c\u6708\u306e\u5168\u5bb6\u8a08\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u304c\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u6307\u6570\u767a\u8868<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u706b\u66dc\u65e5\uff1a\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u306e12\u6708\u306e\u9271\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7523\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u306e1\u6708\u306e\u30cf\u30ea\u30d5\u30a1\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u4f4f\u5b85\u4fa1\u683c\u3001\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u306e12\u6708\u306e\u8cbf\u6613\u7d71\u8a08\n\u6c34\u66dc\u65e5\uff1a\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u7d4c\u5e38\u53ce\u652f\n\u6728\u66dc\u65e5\uff1a\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u9031\u9593\u65b0\u898f\u5931\u696d\u4fdd\u967a\u7533\u8acb\u4ef6\u6570\u3068\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b8\u30fc\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u306e1\u6708\u306e\u96fb\u5b50\u30ab\u30fc\u30c9\u5c0f\u58f2\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\n\u91d1\u66dc\u65e5\uff1a\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u4f01\u696d\u7269\u4fa1\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u6307\u6a19\u3001\u30ce\u30eb\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u306e\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\u3001\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\uff08\u3044\u305a\u308c\u30821\u6708\u5206\uff09\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u304b\u3089\u306f\u7b2c4\u56db\u534a\u671f\u306eGDP\u901f\u5831\u5024\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u304b\u3089\u306f2\u6708\u306e\u30df\u30b7\u30ac\u30f3\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u983c\u611f\u6307\u6570\u306e\u901f\u5831\u5024&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-25.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six nine and resistance at zero point seven zero one, direction upwards    \" class=\"wp-image-55015\" title=\"aud-usd-4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.6900 (S1), 0.6800 (S2), 0.6720 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.7010 (R1), 0.7125 (R2), 0.7285 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-26.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and thirty one point four and resistance at one hundred and thirty four point six, direction upwards   \" class=\"wp-image-55016\" title=\"usd-jpy-4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 131.40 (S1), 128.60 (S2), 126.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 134.60 (R1), 138.15 (R2), 140.50 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1995\" height=\"486\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55017\" title=\"benchmark-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1053\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-29.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55025\" title=\"table-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"791\" height=\"629\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-28.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55021\" title=\"morning-releases-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u8cea\u554f\u3084\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u30ea\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u76f4\u63a5\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9001\u4fe1\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u514d\u8cac\u4e8b\u9805\uff1a<br>\u672c\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u8a00\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u63a8\u5968\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4e00\u74b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002IronFX\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7b2c\u4e09\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3082\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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