{"id":56128,"date":"2023-02-17T11:05:56","date_gmt":"2023-02-17T09:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=56128"},"modified":"2025-12-02T14:46:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T12:46:59","slug":"usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306a FRB \u3067\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6628\u65e5\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u5168\u9762\u7684\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306aFRB\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u308c\u3001\u540c\u6642\u306b\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5f3e\u529b\u7684\u306a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u6307\u6570\u304c\u305d\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\n\u307e\u305a\u30011\u6708\u306e\u4f4f\u5b85\u7740\u5de5\u4ef6\u6570\u3068\u5efa\u7bc9\u8a31\u53ef\u4ef6\u6570\u304c\u3068\u3082\u306b\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u5efa\u8a2d\u90e8\u9580\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5\u306e\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\n\u96c7\u7528\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u9031\u6b21\u65b0\u898f\u5931\u696d\u4fdd\u967a\u7533\u8acb\u4ef6\u6570\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u306b\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u96c7\u7528\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u903c\u8feb\u304c\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"USD on the rise\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/AtjSvAdlAUI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It should be noted that WTI\u2019s price has been driven lower also due to market worries that the Fed\u2019s hawkishness is to curtail economic activity further and may have an adverse effect on oil demand, a concern that has also been reflected in markets lately as <strong>USD Rises<\/strong> on tightening expectations. Across the Atlantic, we note that the UK\u2019s retail sales growth rate accelerated more than expected, which was a positive for the UK on a macroeconomic level, yet failed to excite pound traders, especially as <strong>USD Rises<\/strong> tends to pressure other major currencies. On a monetary level, we note that BoE\u2019s chief economist Huw Pill stated that the bank is to raise rates at a slower pace this year yet has to remain vigilant not to end its rate hiking cycle too soon. The pound\u2019s drop though is unlikely to be halted easily as market worries for a possible recession in the UK economy are still intense, particularly when USD Rises amplify currency imbalances. Finally, we note RBA Governor Lowe, despite the political pressure being exercised on the bank due to the continuous rate hikes, defended the bank\u2019s hawkish stance and expressed the hope that rates may start coming down in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;\u7c73\u56fd\u5317\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u3001FRB\u306e\u601d\u60d1\u3084BoC\u3068\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u4e56\u96e2\u62e1\u5927\u3092\u61f8\u5ff5\u3057\u3066\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u5bfe\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u304c5\u65e5\u9023\u7d9a\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u3082\u4e0b\u3052\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3002\n\u306a\u304a\u3001WTI\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u3001FRB\u306e\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306a\u59ff\u52e2\u304c\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5\u3092\u3055\u3089\u306b\u6291\u5236\u3057\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u8981\u306b\u60aa\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u61f8\u5ff5\u304b\u3089\u3082\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\n\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u306e\u5411\u3053\u3046\u5074\u3067\u306f\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u306e\u5c0f\u58f2\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u7387\u304c\u4e88\u60f3\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u3001\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u82f1\u56fd\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u30dd\u30f3\u30c9\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u3092\u8208\u596e\u3055\u305b\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306b\u306f\u81f3\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD was on the rise yesterday breaking the 1.3465 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. Given that the RSI indicator has reached the reading of 70 and an upward trendline is supporting the pair, we tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair. Should the ascent higher be maintained we may see USD\/CAD &nbsp;breaking the 1.3570 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.3685 (R2) level. Should a selling interest be expressed we may see USD\/CAD, reversing course and breaking the 1.3465 (S1) support line, the upward trendline and aim for the 1.3335 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u6750\u6599<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In an easy Friday, we note during the European session the release of UK\u2019s retail sales growth rate for January as well as the France\u2019s final HICP rates for the same month. On the monetary front&nbsp; ECB policymaker De Galhau speaks. In the American session, we note the release of Canada\u2019s producer prices for January while Richmond Fed President Barkin and Fed Board Governor Bowman are scheduled to speak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gbp-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>GBP\/USD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"756\" height=\"360\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-83.png\" alt=\"USD Rises\" class=\"wp-image-56133\" title=\"GBP\/USD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.1925 (S1), 1.1740 (S2), 1.1565 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.2115 (R1), 1.2270 (R2), 1.2465 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"757\" height=\"357\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-84.png\" alt=\"USD Rises\" class=\"wp-image-56134\" title=\"usd-cad-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3460 (S1), 1.3335 (S2), 1.3230 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3570 (R1), 1.3685 (R2), 1.3805 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1446\" height=\"352\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-85.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56135\" title=\"benchmark-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1061\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-87.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56137\" title=\"table-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1226\" height=\"756\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-86.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56136\" title=\"morning-releases-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u8cea\u554f\u3084\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u30ea\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u76f4\u63a5\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9001\u4fe1\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u514d\u8cac\u4e8b\u9805\uff1a<br>\u672c\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u8a00\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u63a8\u5968\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4e00\u74b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002IronFX\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7b2c\u4e09\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3082\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD was on the rise across the board yesterday, as market expectations for a hawkish Fed were maintained and<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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