{"id":61845,"date":"2023-05-08T10:41:34","date_gmt":"2023-05-08T07:41:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=61845"},"modified":"2025-10-17T11:53:46","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T08:53:46","slug":"us-employment-report-failed-to-support-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/us-employment-report-failed-to-support-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"US employment report failed to support USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>April\u2019s US employment report had little effect on the USD as such, despite data coming out better than expected and showing a considerably tighter US employment market which in turn may allow the Fed to lean on the hawkish side. For the time being, we note that St. Louis Fed President Bullard on Friday, highlighted that the US employment market needs to cool off and that the Fed\u2019s last rate hike was a good \u201cnext step\u201d yet failed to indicate if he would favour the Fed to hike rates further. Also, we note that he tried to play down market worries for the US banking sector as he stated that recent bank stresses \u201ccan be managed\u201d. Overall, the Fed\u2019s intentions tend to remain a key driver for market movements, yet in the US also worries about the banking sector, especially regional banks, are elevated, as are worries for a possible default of the US government, all weighing on the greenback. It should be noted that despite the USD not rising considerably, gold\u2019s price plunged while US stock markets ended Friday in the greens implying a more optimistic tone in the market sentiment. Today, given the lack of high-impact financial releases and earnings report releases of high-profile companies, we expect fundamentals to be in the driver\u2019s seat for the markets\u2019 direction. Back in the FX market and north of the US border, we note that also Canada\u2019s employment data for April were better than expected which may have enhanced BoC\u2019s hawkishness and provided support for the Loonie. The CAD may also have made some gains due to the rise in oil prices on Friday, as the market worries for a possible recession seemed to have eased a bit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Fundamental worries keep the greenback under pressure\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cb9Zrxpbo-0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD plunged yesterday breaking the 1.3465 (R1) support line now turned to resistance. We tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair, as long as its price action remains below the downward trendline incepted since the 4<sup>\u00a0  &nbsp;<\/sup> of May. Please note that the RSI indicator has dropped below the reading of 30 showcasing the bearish sentiment of the market yet may also be implying that the pair has reached oversold levels and may be about to correct higher. It should be noted that the drop has slowed down after breaking the lower Bollinger band, yet the price action, has returned with the Bollinger boundaries, that may allow for some room for the bears to play. Should the bears maintain control over the pair\u2019s direction, we may see it breaking the 1.3335 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.3230 (S2) support hurdle. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the downward trendline, in a first sign that the downward motion has been interrupted and move above the 1.3465 (R1) resistance line, paving the way for the 1.3560 (R2) level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CNH maintain a sideways motion between the 6.9270 (R1) resistance line and the 6.9880 (S1) support level. We tend to maintain our bias for the rangebound movement of the pair to continue given also that the RSI indicator continues to run just below the reading of 50 implying a rather indecisive market for now. Should the pair find fresh extensive buying orders along its path, we may see the pair breaking the 6.9270 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 6.9640 (R2) resistance level. Should a selling interest be expressed by the market, we may see USD\/CNH breaking the 6.9880 (S1) support line and aim for the 6.8625 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u6750\u6599<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>During today\u2019s European session, we note the release of Germany\u2019s industrial output for March and the Eurozone\u2019s Sentix index for May. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of New Zealand\u2019s electronic card retail sale for April, Japan\u2019s All household spending for March and China\u2019s trade data for April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u6307\u6570\u767a\u8868\uff1a<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday we note Norway\u2019s CPI rates for April and we highlight the important US CPI rates for April. On Thursday, we get Japan\u2019s Current Account balance for March, China\u2019s inflation metrics for April, the Czech Republic\u2019s CPI rate for April, the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims figure and PPI rates for April, while on the monetary front we highlight BoE\u2019s interest rate decision. On Friday, we get UK\u2019s Manufacturing Output for March and preliminary GDP rates for Q1, Norway\u2019s GDP rate for Q1 and the US Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer sentiment figure for May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD 4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-33.png\" alt=\"support at one point three three three five and resistance at one point three four six five, direction downwards       \" class=\"wp-image-61846\" title=\"usd-cad-4\u6642\u9593\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3335 (S1), 1.3230 (S2), 1.3135 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3465 (R1), 1.3560 (R2), 1.3655 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cnh-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CNH H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-34.png\" alt=\"support at six point eight nine eight and resistance at six point nine two seven, direction sideways\" class=\"wp-image-61847\" title=\"usd-cnh-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 6.8980 (S1), 6.8625 (S2), 6.8290 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 6.9270 (R1), 6.9640 (R2), 6.9950 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"497\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-35.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-61848\" title=\"benchmark-08-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1035\" height=\"615\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-37.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-61850\" title=\"table-08-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1720\" height=\"1128\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-36.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-61849\" title=\"morning-releases-08-05-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u8cea\u554f\u3084\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u30ea\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u76f4\u63a5\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9001\u4fe1\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u514d\u8cac\u4e8b\u9805\uff1a<br>\u672c\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u8a00\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u63a8\u5968\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4e00\u74b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002IronFX\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7b2c\u4e09\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3082\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>April\u2019s US employment report had little effect on the USD as such, despite data coming out better than expected and<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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