{"id":69710,"date":"2023-09-19T10:43:47","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T07:43:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=69710"},"modified":"2025-12-01T14:24:54","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T12:24:54","slug":"the-rbas-meeting-minutes-show-contradicting-opinions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ja\/the-rbas-meeting-minutes-show-contradicting-opinions\/","title":{"rendered":"The RBA\u2019s meeting minutes show contradicting opinions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to the RBA September meeting minutes, \u201cthe case to keep the cash rate target unchanged at this meeting was the stronger one,\u201d implying that the RBA\u2019s pause may not have been unanimous and that the case for a 25-basis-point hike was made \u201cbased on the expectation that inflation will remain above the RBA\u2019s target\u201d when referring to inflation. Surprisingly, the market showed little to no reaction, implying that they may believe that the RBA\u2019s rate-hiking cycle is over. Over in Europe, ECB Kazimir stated yesterday that \u201cIt is, therefore, premature to place market bets on when the first interest rate cuts will occur,\u201d hinting that even if the bank may have reached its terminal rate, in his opinion current interest rates will remain at their present levels for a prolonged period. However, given that ECB Kazimir was a vocal advocate for further rate hikes, his apparent softening tone may be a further indication to the bears that the ECB may have reached its terminal rate. According to Bloomberg, Banco Santander (#Bsantander) has revamped its corporate structure in an attempt to simplify operations. The article states that the Spanish bank is combining individual countries\u2019 retail and commercial banking businesses under a new global unit, in addition to creating a new digital consumer bank area. Overall, should the changes increase efficiency and reduce costs for the company, we may see the stock gaining support. In the US equities market, we note that the United Auto Workers union threatened yesterday to widen strikes again should a deal not be reached by Friday, as negotiations appear to have reached a stalemate. Therefore, in the event that an agreement has not been reached by Friday, we may see the workers union expanding their strikes to other plants, which could weigh on the stock price of Ford (#F) and General Motors (#GM), who are currently affected by the union\u2019s ongoing strike. Lastly, in the commodities market, Brent Crude Oil reached $95 per barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Canada&#039;s August CPI rates in focus\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QzmMxqh7o9w?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, we note that US100 appears to be moving in a sideways motion and supporting our case is the sideways moving channel formed on the 18<sup>\u00a0  &nbsp;<\/sup> of August and the RSI indicator below our daily chart, which is currently near the figure of 50, implying a neutral market sentiment. For our neutral outlook to continue, we would like to see the index remaining confined between the 14710 (S1) support and the 15550 (R1) resistance levels respectively. On the other hand, for a bullish outlook, we would like to see a clear break above the 15500 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 16610 (R2) resistance ceiling. Lastly for a bearish outlook, we would like to see a clear break below the 14710 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 13865 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WTICash appears to be moving in an upwards fashion and supporting our case is the RSI indicator below our 4-Hour chart which currently registers a figure near 70, implying a bullish market sentiment in addition to the upwards moving trendline which was incepted on the 8<sup>\u00a0  &nbsp;<\/sup> of September. For our bullish outlook to continue, we would like to see a clear break above the 93.10 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 96.30 (R2) resistance ceiling. On the other hand, for a bearish outlook, we would like to see a clear break below the 90.40 (S1) level and the 87.50 (S2) support level, which would coincide with breaking below our upwards moving trendline, with the next possible target for the bears being the 84.50 (S3) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u6750\u6599<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we make a start with the Eurozone\u2019s Final HICP rate for August followed by New Zealand\u2019s Bi-weekly rate. During the American session, we note the US Building Permits and Housing Start figures both for the month of August, followed by Canada\u2019s BOC Core CPI rate for August and finishing off the day is the US API weekly crude oil inventories figure. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note New Zealand\u2019s current account figure for Q2, followed by Japan\u2019s trade balance figure for August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us100-daily-chart\"><strong>US100 DAILY Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"473\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-89.png\" alt=\"support at one four seven one zero  and resistance at one five five zero zero direction sideways\" class=\"wp-image-69711\" title=\"us-100-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 14710 (S1), 13865 (S2), 12980 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 15500 (R1), 16610 (R2), 18000 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wticash-4h-chart\"><strong>WTICash 4H Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-90.png\" alt=\"support at   nine zero point four zero and resistance at nine three point one zero direction downwards\" class=\"wp-image-69712\" title=\"wticash-four-hour chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 90.40 (S1), 87.50 (S2), 84.50 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 93.10 (R1), 96.30 (R2), 100.50 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1953\" height=\"470\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-91.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69714\" title=\"benchmark-19-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1088\" height=\"613\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-93.png\" alt=\"RBA\" class=\"wp-image-69716\" title=\"table-19-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1185\" height=\"1125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-92.png\" alt=\"RBA\" class=\"wp-image-69715\" title=\"morning-releases-19-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u8cea\u554f\u3084\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u30ea\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u76f4\u63a5\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9001\u4fe1\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u514d\u8cac\u4e8b\u9805\uff1a<br>\u672c\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u52a9\u8a00\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u63a8\u5968\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4e00\u74b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002IronFX\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7b2c\u4e09\u8005\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3082\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to the RBA September meeting minutes \u201cthe case to keep the cash rate target unchanged at this meeting was<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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