{"id":35666,"date":"2022-08-04T08:45:50","date_gmt":"2022-08-04T05:45:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=35666"},"modified":"2025-12-10T10:11:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T08:11:09","slug":"equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ko\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>US stock markets<\/strong> were on the <strong>rise<\/strong> since our <strong>last<\/strong> <strong>report<\/strong>, with all <strong>three<\/strong> <strong>major<\/strong> <strong>equities<\/strong> <strong>indexes<\/strong>, being in the <strong>greens<\/strong>. Yet we must note that the <strong>ascending<\/strong> <strong>course<\/strong> sems to have been at least <strong>temporarily<\/strong> <strong>halted<\/strong>. Today we are about to take a <strong>more<\/strong> <strong>\uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc778<\/strong> <strong>approach<\/strong> which could have <strong>moved<\/strong> the <strong>markets<\/strong> in the <strong>past<\/strong> <strong>few<\/strong> <strong>days<\/strong> and move them in the <strong>coming<\/strong> <strong>days<\/strong>. For a <strong>rounder<\/strong> <strong>view<\/strong> the <strong>report<\/strong> is to <strong>finish<\/strong> with a <strong>\uae30\uc220\uc801<\/strong> <strong>analysis<\/strong> of <strong>Dow<\/strong> <strong>Jones<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We make a <strong>first stop<\/strong> on last <strong>Wednesday<\/strong> the 27<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup> of the month and the <strong>Fed\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>interest<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>decision<\/strong>. As was <strong>widely<\/strong> <strong>expected<\/strong>, the <strong>Fed<\/strong> <strong>delivered<\/strong> a <strong>75 basis points rate hike<\/strong> <strong>unanimously<\/strong> and in its <strong>accompanying<\/strong> <strong>statement<\/strong> the <strong>FOMC<\/strong> kept a rather <strong>confident<\/strong>, <strong>hawkish<\/strong> <strong>tone<\/strong>&nbsp; <strong>citing<\/strong> a <strong>tight<\/strong> <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>employment<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong> as well as <strong>inflationary<\/strong> <strong>pressures<\/strong> in the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong>. <strong>Fed<\/strong> <strong>Chairman<\/strong> <strong>Powell<\/strong>, in his <strong>press<\/strong> <strong>conference<\/strong>, which may have been the <strong>market<\/strong> <strong>moving<\/strong> <strong>element<\/strong> of the <strong>event<\/strong>, stated that <strong>inflation<\/strong> is <strong>much<\/strong> <strong>too<\/strong> <strong>\ub192\uc74c<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>wage<\/strong> <strong>growth<\/strong> is <strong>elevated<\/strong>, while there is still <strong>upward<\/strong> <strong>pressure<\/strong> on <strong>inflation<\/strong>. Yet <strong>Powell<\/strong> also stated that the <strong>size<\/strong> of the <strong>next<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>hike<\/strong> is going to be <strong>dependent<\/strong> on the <strong>data<\/strong> to be <strong>released<\/strong>, which may imply that the <strong>next<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>hike<\/strong> may <strong>not<\/strong> be <strong>as<\/strong> <strong>wide<\/strong> <strong>as<\/strong> <strong>75 basis points<\/strong>, yet the <strong>bank<\/strong> will <strong>not<\/strong> <strong>hesitate<\/strong> to <strong>repeat<\/strong> <strong>it<\/strong> if <strong>necessary<\/strong>. At the same time the <strong>Fed\u2019s Chairman<\/strong> stated that he does <strong>not<\/strong> <strong>believe<\/strong> that the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong> is <strong>currently<\/strong> in a <strong>recession<\/strong> as the <strong>economy<\/strong> is doing <strong>well<\/strong> in a <strong>number<\/strong> of <strong>areas<\/strong> especially the <strong>employment<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong>. All of the above tended to provide some <strong>support<\/strong> for <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>stockmarkets<\/strong>, as the prospect of an <strong>easing<\/strong> of the <strong>Fed\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>hiking<\/strong> <strong>path<\/strong> could allow for some <strong>opportunities<\/strong> for <strong>growth<\/strong> for the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong>. Even yesterday Tuesday we had <strong>St. Louis Fed President Bullard<\/strong> stating his belief that the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong> <strong>can<\/strong> <strong>avoid<\/strong> a <strong>recession<\/strong>, while <strong>San Francisco Fed President Daly<\/strong> implied that he <strong>Fed<\/strong> is to continue to <strong>tighten<\/strong> its <strong>monetary policy<\/strong> in order to <strong>curb inflationary pressures<\/strong> in <strong>the US economy<\/strong>. Despite <strong>Powell\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>sayings<\/strong> the <strong>\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)<\/strong> <strong>advance<\/strong> <strong>growth<\/strong> rate for <strong>Q2<\/strong> was telling a <strong>different<\/strong> <strong>story<\/strong> on <strong>Thursday<\/strong> the 28<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup>, as it <strong>failed<\/strong> to <strong>exit<\/strong> the <strong>negative<\/strong> <strong>territory<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>signalled<\/strong> that the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong> is in a <strong>recession<\/strong>, at least <strong>technically<\/strong>, given that it <strong>remained<\/strong> in the <strong>negatives<\/strong> for <strong>another<\/strong> <strong>quarter<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also on <strong>a fundamental level<\/strong>, we cannot miss out on <strong>commenting<\/strong> on the <strong>escalation<\/strong> of <strong>tensions<\/strong> in the <strong>US-Sino relationships<\/strong>. It should be noted that <strong>US House speaker Nancy Pelosi<\/strong> visited <strong>Taiwan<\/strong>, the first of a <strong>high-ranking US politician<\/strong> in the past 25 years and the <strong>visit<\/strong>, <strong>causing<\/strong> an <strong>enraged<\/strong> <strong>response<\/strong> from <strong>China<\/strong>. The <strong>issue<\/strong> <strong>intensified<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong> <strong>worries<\/strong> for the <strong>possible<\/strong> <strong>adverse<\/strong> <strong>effects<\/strong> on the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong> causing <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>stockmarkets<\/strong> to <strong>stall<\/strong> and even <strong>drop<\/strong> <strong>a bit<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The next big test for <a><strong>US stockmarkets<\/strong> <\/a>is expected to be the <strong>US employment report for July<\/strong>, which is due out on <strong>Friday<\/strong>. The <strong>NFP figure<\/strong> is expected to <strong>drop<\/strong> if compared to <strong>June<\/strong>, while the <strong>unemployment<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> is expected to <strong>remain<\/strong> <strong>unchanged<\/strong> at rather <strong>low levels<\/strong>. Overall the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>employment market<\/strong> seems to <strong>remain<\/strong> <strong>tight<\/strong> should the <strong>actual<\/strong> <strong>rates<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>figures<\/strong> meet their <strong>respective<\/strong> <strong>forecasts<\/strong>, albeit the <strong>tightening<\/strong> seems to be <strong>losing<\/strong> <strong>some<\/strong> <strong>steam<\/strong>. Please note that at the <strong>time<\/strong> of the <strong>release<\/strong> there may be <strong>increased<\/strong> <strong>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/strong> for <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>stockmarkets<\/strong>, so some <strong>caution<\/strong> is <strong>advisable<\/strong>. Also please note that the <strong>earnings season<\/strong> is still <strong>on<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>the releases<\/strong> may <strong>sway<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong> <strong>opinion<\/strong>. Should the <strong>earnings<\/strong> <strong>reports<\/strong> be <strong>better<\/strong> <strong>than<\/strong> <strong>expected<\/strong> we may see the <strong>positive<\/strong>, <strong>risk<\/strong> <strong>on<\/strong> <strong>attitude<\/strong> on behalf of <strong>investors<\/strong> <strong>intensifying<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>vice<\/strong> <strong>versa<\/strong>. We note the release of <strong>EBAY<\/strong>, <strong>Booking<\/strong> \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 <strong>Moderna<\/strong> today Wednesday,&nbsp; <strong>Alibaba<\/strong> (#BABA), <strong>GoPro<\/strong> (#GPRO),<strong>Dropbox<\/strong>, <strong>New Fortress Energy<\/strong> (#NFE), <strong>LYFT<\/strong> on Thursday and <strong>CGC<\/strong> on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US 30 Cash, Daily Chart<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"292\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/us30caash.png\" alt=\"Technical chart of EU\/USD currency pair, illustrating stocks price fluctuations and trends.\" class=\"wp-image-35667\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 32200 (S1), 31170 (S2), 29850 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 33100 (R1), 34150 (R2), 35300 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dow Jones<\/strong> <strong>corrected<\/strong> <strong>lower<\/strong> yesterday yet remained between the <strong>33100<\/strong> (R1) and the <strong>32200<\/strong> (S1) levels. We tend to <strong>maintain<\/strong> a <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> for the index as long as it <strong>remains<\/strong> <strong>above<\/strong> the <strong>upward<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> incepted since the 15<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup> of July. Please note that the <strong>price<\/strong> <strong>action<\/strong> tested the <strong>prementioned<\/strong> <strong>upward<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> <strong>today<\/strong>, yet at the same time the <strong>RSI<\/strong> <strong>indicator<\/strong> seems to <strong>remain<\/strong> <strong>comfortably<\/strong> <strong>near<\/strong> the reading of <strong>70<\/strong> implying some <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>sentiment<\/strong>. For the time being it seems that the <strong>distance<\/strong> <strong>created<\/strong> by the <strong>correction<\/strong> <strong>lower<\/strong> between the <strong>price-action<\/strong> and the <strong>upper<\/strong> <strong>Bollinger<\/strong> <strong>Band<\/strong> could allow <strong>buyers<\/strong> for some <strong>extra<\/strong> <strong>room<\/strong> to <strong>manoeuvre<\/strong>. Should the <strong>bulls<\/strong> actually <strong>maintain<\/strong> <strong>control<\/strong> over the <strong>index\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>direction<\/strong> we may see <strong>Dow<\/strong> <strong>Jones<\/strong> breaking the <strong>33100<\/strong> (R1) resistance line and take aim of the <strong>34150<\/strong> (R2) <strong>resistance<\/strong> level. Should on the other hand the <strong>bears<\/strong> take over, we may see the <strong>index<\/strong>, breaking the <strong>prementioned<\/strong> <strong>upward<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> the <strong>32200<\/strong> (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> line and aim for the <strong>31170<\/strong> (S2) <strong>support<\/strong> level.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uba74\ucc45 \uc870\ud56d:<br>\ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc804\ub2ec\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc38\uc870\ub9cc \ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. IronFX\ub294 \ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c 3\uc790\uac00 \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc5f0\uacb0\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub610\ub294 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US stockmarkets were on the rise since our last report, with all three major equities indexes, being in the greens.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Stocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35666\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ko\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":866,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"description\":\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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