{"id":65705,"date":"2023-07-07T11:17:28","date_gmt":"2023-07-07T08:17:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=65705"},"modified":"2024-08-26T12:36:01","modified_gmt":"2024-08-26T09:36:01","slug":"junes-us-employment-report-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ko\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"June\u2019s US employment report in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to edge a bit lower yesterday yet the overall picture of a sideways motion against its counterparts seems to remain present. We note that US data tended to be better than expected for June as the ADP employment figure skyrocketed to almost 500k, implying a tightness in the US employment market and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI figure rose instead of dropping implying resilience and a faster expansion of economic activity in the US services sector. Today we highlight the release of the US employment report for June and the NFP figure is expected to drop implying a weakening of the US economy\u2019s ability to actually create new jobs, while the unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 3.6%, implying that the US employment market remains tight. For the time being, we see that risks seem to be skewed to the upside for the release and should there be better rates and figures than expected, we may see the USD being supported as it would allow the Fed to maintain its aggressive hawkish stance and proceed with further monetary policy tightening. A possible wider drop of the NFP figure may hint towards an easing of the US employment market\u2019s tightness and may disappoint traders, thus weakening the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US employment data due today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OZIoFJ-Xxfc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, we note that the greenback edged lower against the JPY yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking the 143.65 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance.&nbsp; Given that USD\/JPY\u2019s price action was able to break the lower boundary of its past sideways movement, we switch our bias for a sideways motion in favour of a bearish outlook. The RSI indicator is nearing the reading of 30, also underscoring the build-up of the bearish sentiment in the market for the pair, yet the price action has met the lower Bollinger band, which may soften the bears\u2019 approach. Should the selling interest intensify we may see the pair aiming if not breaking the 142.30 (S1) support line in search of lower grounds. On the flip side, should the pair find extensive buying orders along its path, we may see the pair reversing course, breaking the 143.65 (R1) line and aiming if not breaking the 145.10 (R2) resistance hurdle.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time we also get Canada\u2019s employment data for June. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up and reach 5.3%, while the employment change figure is expected to rise and reach 20k. Should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, we may see the CAD getting some support as they would imply that the Canadian employment market remains tight. Such rates and figures may provide a green light for the Bank of Canada to proceed with another rate hike next Wednesday, despite a considerable slowdown of the Core and headline CPI rates for May. The importance of the release is emphasized as it may be the deciding factor behind the markets\u2019 expectations for BoC\u2019s interest rate decision, as a possible rate hike is being contested. USD\/CAD was on the rise yesterday breaking the 1.3335 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We tend to maintain our bullish outlook yet highlight the release of the US and Canadian employment data for June as a key factor for the pair\u2019s direction in the next 24 hours. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair, we may see USD\/CAD breaking the 1.3450 (R1) resistance line and aim for higher grounds, while if the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 1.3335 (S1) line and aim for the 1.3230 (S2) support base.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>\uae08\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\ub274\uc2a4<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In today\u2019s European session we note the release of Germany\u2019s industrial output for May, UK\u2019s Halifax House prices for June, Sweden\u2019s and Norway\u2019s GDP for May while we also note that BuBa President and ECB policymaker Nagel speaks. In the American session besides the US and Canada\u2019s June employment data, we also note that Bank of England interest rate-setter Mann, ECB President Christine Lagarde and ECB Vice President De Guindos are scheduled to speak. During Monday\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of Japan\u2019s current account balance for May and China\u2019s inflation metrics for June.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-21.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and forty two point three and resistance at one hundred and forty three point sixty five, direction downwards \" class=\"wp-image-65706\" title=\"usd-jpy-4-\uc2dc\uac04-\ucc28\ud2b8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 142.30 (S1), 140.80 (S2), 138.80 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 143.65 (R1), 145.10 (R2), 146.80 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-22.png\" alt=\"support at one point three three three five and resistance at one point three four five, direction upwards \" class=\"wp-image-65707\" title=\"usd-cad-4-\uc2dc\uac04-\ucc28\ud2b8\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3335 (S1), 1.3230 (S2), 1.3135 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3450 (R1), 1.3545 (R2), 1.3650 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-23.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65708\" title=\"benchmark-07-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1009\" height=\"601\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-24.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65709\" title=\"table-07-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"792\" height=\"799\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65710\" title=\"morning-releases--07-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc774\ub098 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uc2dc\uba74 \uc800\ud76c \uc5f0\uad6c\ud300\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811 \uc774\uba54\uc77c\uc744 \ubcf4\ub0b4\uc8fc\uc2ed\uc2dc\uc624\n <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uba74\ucc45 \uc870\ud56d:<br>\ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc804\ub2ec\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc38\uc870\ub9cc \ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. IronFX\ub294 \ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c 3\uc790\uac00 \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc5f0\uacb0\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub610\ub294 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to edge a bit lower yesterday yet the overall picture of a sideways motion against its counterparts<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>June\u2019s US employment report in focus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD tended to edge a bit lower yesterday yet the overall picture of a sideways motion against its counterparts seems to remain present.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65705\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"June\u2019s US employment report in focus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The USD tended to edge a bit lower yesterday yet the overall picture of a sideways motion against its counterparts seems to remain present.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ko\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-07T08:17:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-26T09:36:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"June\u2019s US employment report in focus\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-07T08:17:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-26T09:36:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":808,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\",\"name\":\"June\u2019s US employment report in focus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-07T08:17:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-26T09:36:01+00:00\",\"description\":\"The USD tended to edge a bit lower yesterday yet the overall picture of a sideways motion against its counterparts seems to remain present.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/junes-us-employment-report-in-focus\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"June\u2019s US employment report in focus\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ko\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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