{"id":14739,"date":"2020-05-29T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T12:21:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14739"},"modified":"2024-05-13T13:22:02","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T10:22:02","slug":"usd-weakens-before-trumps-response-to-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ph\/usd-weakens-before-trumps-response-to-china\/","title":{"rendered":"USD weakens before Trump\u2019s response to China"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>The USD weakened<\/b>\u00a0somewhat against its counterparts yesterday, as the markets await the\u00a0<b>US response to China<\/b>.\u00a0<b>The Chinese Parliament<\/b>\u00a0approved the new security law for Hong Kong despite US warnings, and the legislation is now passed to China\u2019s Senior leadership. The legislation caused wide concerns for the semiautonomous status of\u00a0<b>Hong Kong<\/b>, as China would be able to install its own security agencies in the city. In the meantime, protests are ongoing in Hong Kong and security measures around Hong Kong\u2019s parliament remain tight.\u00a0<b>US President Trump<\/b>\u00a0stated that he will be holding a press conference on Friday about the issue and the US response to China. It should be noted that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo had already stated that Hong Kong could no longer be considered to have &#8220;a high degree of autonomy&#8221; from mainland China. Such a switch in Hong Kong\u2019s status could entail that\u00a0<b>US sanctions and tariffs<\/b>\u00a0that apply to mainland China could now also apply to Hong Kong, destabilizing its economy and its function as a financial hub. We expect the situation to escalate further substantially and in such a case the\u00a0<b>USD may get some safe-haven inflows<\/b>. AUD\/USD continued to rise yesterday testing the 0.6650 (R1) resistance line. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair, as long as it remains above the upward trendline incepted since the 15th of May. On the other hand, it should be noted that he 0.6650 (R1) line seems to be providing considerable resistance. Should the bulls actually remain in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we could see AUD\/USD clearly breaking the 0.6650 (R1) line and aim for the 0.6750 (R2) level. If the bears take over, we could see the pair breaking the prementioned upward trendline, the 0.6565 (S1) line and aim for the 0.6490 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR strengthens on possibility of additional German stimulus<\/h3>\n<p><b>EUR jumped<\/b>\u00a0yesterday against\u00a0<b>the USD<\/b>\u00a0as traders ignored the\u00a0<b>slowdown of Germany\u2019s HICP rate<\/b>\u00a0for May and provided support for the common currency. A reason behind\u00a0<b>EUR\u2019s strengthening<\/b>\u00a0could be the German government\u2019s intentions for an\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/usd-remains-firm-on-us-sino-tensions\"><b>additional stimulus<\/b><\/a>\u00a0of \u20ac50-100 billion for the\u00a0<b>German economy<\/b>.\u00a0<b>Finance minister Scholz<\/b>\u00a0seems to be leaning towards the higher end of spending, while the conservative block within the German government seems to be pushing back in order to avoid debt and more concrete decisions are to be taken next week. Analysts note that the first stimulus from Germany\u2019s government was to soften the blow to the German economy, while the second is to boost its recovery. We expect\u00a0<b>EUR traders<\/b>\u00a0to keep a close eye to today\u2019s financial releases and especially\u00a0<b>Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rate<\/b> for May. EUR\/USD jumped yesterday breaking the 1.1050 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as it seems to be guided by the upward trendline incepted since the 26th of May. At the same time please note that the RSI indicator below our chart is at the reading of 70, mirroring the strength of the bulls, yet at the same time may be implying that the pair\u2019s long position may be somewhat overcrowded. In a buying momentum, we could see the pair breaking the 1.1120 (R1) line and aim for the 1.1180 (R2) resistance level. While if a selling interest prevails in the market, the pair could break the 1.1060 (S1) line and aim for the 1.1010 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>In a busy Friday, during the European session, we get Germany\u2019s retail sales growth rate for April as well as France\u2019s and Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for May. In the American session, we get the US consumption rate for April and Canada\u2019s GDP rates for Q1 and March. On Sunday\u2019s Asian morning, we get China\u2019s NBS PMI\u2019s for May while on Monday\u2019s Asian session, Japan\u2019s final Jibun Mfg PMI for May and China\u2019s Caixin manufacturing PMI for May are to be released. As for speakers, please note that Riksbank\u2019s Governor Stefan Ingves yet the eyes of the market are expected to be on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell\u2019s speech later on.<\/p>\n<p><b>AUD\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/5-May-20\/29-05-2020\/aud-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point six five six five and resistance at zero point six six five zero, direction upwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 0.6565 (S1), 0.6490 (S2), 0.6385 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 0.6650 (R1), 0.6750 (R2), 0.6840 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>EUR\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/5-May-20\/29-05-2020\/eur-usd.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point one zero six zero and resistance at one point one one two zero, direction upwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.1060 (S1), 1.1010 (S2), 1.0950 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.1120 (R1), 1.1180 (R2), 1.1240 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/5-May-20\/29-05-2020\/benchmark.png\" alt=\"benchmark-29-05-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/5-May-20\/29-05-2020\/table.png\" alt=\"table-29-05-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/5-May-20\/29-05-2020\/morning-releases.png\" alt=\"morning-releases-29-05-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer:<\/p>\n<p><i>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD weakened\u00a0somewhat against its counterparts yesterday, as the markets await the\u00a0US response to China.\u00a0The Chinese Parliament\u00a0approved the new security<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD weakens before Trump\u2019s response to China<\/title>\n<meta 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