{"id":37539,"date":"2022-10-04T09:49:56","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T06:49:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=37539"},"modified":"2025-10-13T13:14:08","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T10:14:08","slug":"daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ph\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily Key points: Pound rebounds yet UK credibility still is in the balance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The pound continued to strengthen against the USD yesterday, yet the pound\u2019s strengthening is also clear against the EUR and JPY in a sign of broader strength for the sterling. Nevertheless, despite the strengthening of the pound, the credibility of the UK government is still low with the markets despite Prime Minister Truss performing a humiliating U-turn yesterday in regard to the possibility of scrapping a tax rate hike. Overall, the UK Government\u2019s plans to cut welfare and public spending in order to provide a tax cut to the richest was considered a giveaway and created turmoil in the markets as well as an outcry among UK citizens, thus increasing uncertainty also on a political level. On the other hand, UK finance minister Kwarteng is to bring forward the publication of the UK Government\u2019s plans to cut UK debt, in order to restore reliability among the markets, yet UK\u2019s credibility may well remain in the balance for now. Across the world the Aussie took a beating during today\u2019s Asian session as RBA proceeded with a 25-basis points rate hike as we had mentioned yesterday and disappointed Aussie traders. Overall, the bank\u2019s hawkishness in Governor Lowe\u2019s statement, seems to have eased as the bank stated that its intentions is still to curb inflationary pressures in the Australian economy yet also underscored that the outlook for the global economy is uncertain and has deteriorated. At the end the bank reiterated that \u201cThe size and timing of future interest rate increases will continue to be determined by the incoming data and the Board\u2019s assessment of the outlook for inflation and the labour market\u201d. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session we note the release from New Zealand of RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is expected to proceed with a 50-basis points rate hike, as NZD OIS imply a probability over 70% currently for such a scenario to materialize. Even should the bank proceed with a 50-basis points rate hike as expected, for the Kiwi to get some substantial support, the bank may also have to adopt a hawkish, confident tone, while anything less could weaken NZD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Pound rebounds but UK&#039;s credibility is still in the balance\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/J57mvzOwddY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Cable continued to rise yesterday breaking the 1.1275 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as it remains above the upward trendline incepted since the 26<sup>th<\/sup> of September. Should the bulls actually maintain their dominance over the pair\u2019s direction as expected, we may see GBP\/USD breaking the 1.1460 (R1) resistance line, thus paving the way for the 1.1610 (R2) level. Should on the other hand the bears say enough is enough and take over, we may see the pair reversing course breaking the 1.1275 (S1) support line, the prementioned upward trendline and aim for the 1.1095 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NZD\/USD seems to remain in a sideways motion and currently seems to be hitting a ceiling at the 0.5730 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue, while note that the RSI indicator, below the 4-hour chart remains near the reading of 50 also implying a rather indecisive market. Should the pair find fresh buying orders along its path we may see it breaking the 0.5730 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.5810 (R2) level. Should a selling interest be expressed we may see NZD\/USD dropping breaking the 0.5630 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.5560 (S2) level if not even lower.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session we note the release of Eurozone\u2019s producer prices and in the American session we get from the US the factory orders growth rate and the JOLTS Job Openings figure, all being for August.\u00a0 Oil traders on the other had may be interested in the release of the EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure. On the monetary front we note NY Fed President Williams, Dallas Fed President Logan, Cleveland Fed President Mester, Fed Board Governor Jefferson and San Francisco Fed President Daly speaking. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session besides RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision we also note the release of Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s services PMI figures for September.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gbp-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>GBP\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-5.png\" alt=\"support at one point one two seven five and resistance at one point one four six, direction upwards \" class=\"wp-image-37540\" title=\"gbp-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.1275 (S1), 1.1095 (S2), 1.0925 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.1460 (R1), 1.1610 (R2), 1.1745 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nzd-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>NZD\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-6.png\" alt=\"support at zero point five six three and resistance at zero point five seven three, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-37541\" title=\"nzd-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.5630 (S1), 0.5560 (S2), 0.5470 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.5730 (R1), 0.5810 (R2), 0.5910 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-37542\" width=\"618\" height=\"151\" title=\"benchmark-04-10-2022\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1054\" height=\"602\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-37543\" title=\"table-04-10-2022\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"712\" height=\"659\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-37544\" title=\"morning-releases-04-10-2022\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The pound continued to strengthen against the USD yesterday, yet the pound\u2019s strengthening is also clear against the EUR and<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37539","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The pound continued to strengthen against the USD yesterday, yet the pound\u2019s strengthening is also clear against the EUR and JPY\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37539\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Daily Key points: Pound rebounds yet UK credibility still is in the balance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The pound continued to strengthen against the USD yesterday, yet the pound\u2019s strengthening is also clear against the EUR and JPY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ph\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-04T06:49:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T10:14:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Daily Key points: Pound rebounds yet UK credibility still is in the balance\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-10-04T06:49:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T10:14:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":801,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tl\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/ph\\\/daily-key-points-pound-rebounds-yet-uk-credibility-still-is-in-the-balance\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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