{"id":62496,"date":"2023-05-17T15:23:18","date_gmt":"2023-05-17T12:23:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=62496"},"modified":"2024-07-01T10:39:19","modified_gmt":"2024-07-01T07:39:19","slug":"equities-outlook-equities-report-equities-report-us-equities-markets-send-mixed-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ph\/equities-outlook-equities-report-equities-report-us-equities-markets-send-mixed-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: US equities markets send mixed signals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>US stock markets<\/strong> sent <strong>mixed<\/strong> <strong>signals<\/strong> since last week with the NASDAQ 100 moving <strong>higher<\/strong> whilst the S&amp;P 500 remain relatively <strong>unchanged<\/strong> and the Dow Jones 30 moving <strong>lower<\/strong>, as market fears of the US <strong>defaulting<\/strong> on its debt have <strong>alleviated<\/strong>, following <strong>progress<\/strong> by <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>lawmakers<\/strong> to <strong>resolve<\/strong> the <strong>debt<\/strong> ceiling <strong>standoff<\/strong>. In this report we aim to present the recent fundamental and economic news releases that impacted the US stock markets, look ahead at the upcoming events that could affect their performance and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-debt-ceiling-talks-appear-to-be-moving-forwards\"><strong>US debt ceiling talks appear to be moving forwards<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week, the <strong>NASDAQ 100 gained ground<\/strong>, whilst the <strong>Dow Jones 30 declined<\/strong> and the <strong>S&amp;P 500 remained relatively unchanged<\/strong>, as the <strong>probability<\/strong> of a US <strong>default<\/strong> <strong>decreases<\/strong>. Following the <strong>mataas<\/strong>&#8211;<strong>level<\/strong> talks between <strong>US<\/strong> lawmakers, the risk of the US <strong>defaulting<\/strong> on its <strong>debt<\/strong> has <strong>eased<\/strong>, as post-meeting statements <strong>indicated<\/strong> <strong>progress<\/strong> and contained <strong>strong<\/strong> <strong>wording<\/strong>, that the <strong>US<\/strong> would <strong>not<\/strong> be <strong>allowed<\/strong> to <strong>default<\/strong> <strong>diffusing<\/strong> <strong>excess<\/strong> <strong>worries<\/strong> in <strong>equities<\/strong> <strong>markets<\/strong>. Aiding to the fall of Dow Jones 30 index yesterday, was <strong>Home Depot<\/strong> whose <strong>earnings<\/strong> <strong>releases<\/strong> caused <strong>waves<\/strong> in the <strong>markets<\/strong>, after posting its <strong>biggest<\/strong> <strong>revenue<\/strong> <strong>miss<\/strong> in more than <strong>two decades<\/strong>. The earnings result, dealt a 2% <strong>blow<\/strong> to its stock\u2019s price, as in the <strong>forward<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> the <strong>company<\/strong> expects <strong>sales<\/strong> to <strong>decline<\/strong> <strong>between<\/strong> roughly 2% and 5% for the entirety of 2023, painting a <strong>gloomy<\/strong> <strong>picture<\/strong> for the home improvement <strong>retail<\/strong> <strong>giant<\/strong> and the <strong>probability<\/strong> that the <strong>Fed<\/strong> is likely to continue <strong>hiking<\/strong> rates, traders <strong>fear<\/strong> that <strong>consumer<\/strong> <strong>staples<\/strong> companies may be amongst the first to feel the <strong>negative<\/strong> <strong>implications<\/strong> of <strong>tight<\/strong> <strong>economic<\/strong> <strong>conditions<\/strong> stemming from <strong>restrictive<\/strong> <strong>monetary<\/strong> <strong>policy<\/strong> practices. However, there is an <strong>outlier<\/strong> amongst the <strong>equities<\/strong> markets, being the <strong>NASDAQ 100<\/strong>, which is currently on <strong>four-week winning streak<\/strong> <strong>defying<\/strong> <strong>expectations<\/strong>. This could be <strong>attributed<\/strong> to the <strong>AI generated hype<\/strong> around companies, albeit of which some are just <strong>remotely<\/strong> <strong>connected<\/strong> to the <strong>development<\/strong> of <strong>Artificial Intelligence<\/strong>, hence <strong>propping<\/strong> up their <strong>stocks<\/strong> like helium <strong>balloons<\/strong> that are just waiting to <strong>pop<\/strong> once the <strong>reality<\/strong> sets in, in a <strong>2000\u2019s dotcom-bubble<\/strong> fashion. In addition, since the <strong>majority<\/strong> of <strong>companies<\/strong> have already <strong>posted<\/strong> their <strong>earnings<\/strong> for Q1, it is likely that the <strong>US<\/strong> <strong>equities<\/strong> <strong>markets<\/strong> are primarily <strong>driven<\/strong> by <strong>external<\/strong> <strong>factors<\/strong> such as the FX market, where a <strong>strengthening<\/strong> <strong>dollar<\/strong> has taken the spotlight away, as the <strong>banking fears<\/strong> <strong>subside<\/strong> at <strong>progress<\/strong> is made on <strong>raising<\/strong> the <strong>debt<\/strong> <strong>ceiling<\/strong> in order to <strong>avoid<\/strong> a <strong>US default<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-baidu-leads-the-way-forward-for-china-s-equities-markets\"><strong>BAIDU leads the way forward for China\u2019s equities markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Baidu<\/strong>, the Chinese <strong>behemoth<\/strong> announced its <strong>quarterly<\/strong> <strong>earnings<\/strong> report on Tuesday, <strong>beating<\/strong> <strong>revenue<\/strong> at <strong>earnings<\/strong> <strong>estimates<\/strong>, as market <strong>attention<\/strong> turns back towards the <strong>Chinese<\/strong> <strong>economy<\/strong>\u2018s <strong>rebound<\/strong> following it\u2019s <strong>re-opening<\/strong> in November. The <strong>better<\/strong> than <strong>anticipated<\/strong> <strong>earnings<\/strong> report is <strong>indicative<\/strong> of a <strong>continued confidence<\/strong> by investors in the <strong>Chinese equities markets<\/strong> which is still <strong>stronger than its American counterparts<\/strong>, as the latest <strong>growth<\/strong> <strong>data<\/strong> indicated that the <strong>economy<\/strong> <strong>grew<\/strong> by 4.5% in the first quarter. In addition, the <strong>company<\/strong> <strong>stated<\/strong> that certain <strong>elements<\/strong> of its <strong>businesses<\/strong> are experiencing <strong>demand<\/strong> <strong>approximating<\/strong> <strong>pre-pandemic levels<\/strong>, potentially providing investors with a greater than expected <strong>optimistic<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong>. Furthermore, <strong>Baidu<\/strong> has also <strong>capitalized<\/strong> on the recent <strong>AI frenzy<\/strong> that has taken the world by the reigns and has announced that it is currently waitingfor its<strong> ChatGPT alternative<\/strong> \u201c<strong>Ernie Bot<\/strong>\u201d to receive <strong>regulatory<\/strong> <strong>approval<\/strong> from the responsible <strong>Chinese<\/strong> <strong>authorities<\/strong>. In the event that <strong>Baidu\u2019s \u201cErnie Bot\u201d<\/strong> gains approval by <strong>state<\/strong> <strong>regulators<\/strong>, it would allow the <strong>search engine goliath<\/strong> to tap into a <strong>booming<\/strong> <strong>tech<\/strong> <strong>industry<\/strong>, given that the <strong>recent tensions<\/strong> between <strong>China<\/strong> and the <strong>US<\/strong> would most likely make it more <strong>difficult<\/strong> for <strong>Foreign<\/strong> <strong>AI<\/strong> <strong>companies<\/strong> to <strong>enter<\/strong> the Chinese <strong>markets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis\"><strong><u>Teknikal na Pagsusuri<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-bidu-daily-chart\"><strong>#BIDU DAILY Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"476\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-86.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62497\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 131.50 (S1), 125.90 (S2), 120.40 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 136.25 (R1), 141.50 (R2), 147.85 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at <strong>#BIDU<\/strong> Daily chart we observe investors reacting <strong>favorably<\/strong> to the <strong>positive<\/strong> earnings report from the <strong>company<\/strong>, as the <strong>stock<\/strong> has in its sights the 136.25 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> line and its guided to <strong>higher<\/strong> <strong>ground<\/strong> by the formation of an <strong>upwards<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> on the 12<sup>th<\/sup> of May. We hold a <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> bias for Baidu as the stock continues to validate our <strong>upwards<\/strong> <strong>moving<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> and supporting our case is the <strong>RSI<\/strong> indicator below our daily chart, which <strong>broke<\/strong> <strong>above<\/strong> the <strong>reading<\/strong> of 50 and is now <strong>heading<\/strong> for the 70 <strong>figure<\/strong>. For our <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> to continue, we would like to see a <strong>break<\/strong> <strong>above<\/strong> the 136.25 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> line with the next potential <strong>target<\/strong> for the bulls being the 141.50 (R2) <strong>resistance<\/strong> barrier. For a <strong>bearish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong>, we would like to see a <strong>clear<\/strong> <strong>break<\/strong> <strong>below<\/strong> the 131.50 (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> level followed by the potential <strong>testing<\/strong> of <strong>support<\/strong> at the 125.90 (S2) <strong>level<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US stock markets sent mixed signals since last week with the NASDAQ 100 moving higher whilst the S&amp;P 500 remain<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Equities report: US equities markets send mixed signals<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US stock markets send mixed signals 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