{"id":14399,"date":"2020-02-11T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T08:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&p=14399"},"modified":"2024-06-25T09:23:17","modified_gmt":"2024-06-25T06:23:17","slug":"weak-kiwi-awaits-rbnzs-interest-rate-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/weak-kiwi-awaits-rbnzs-interest-rate-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"Weak Kiwi awaits RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tomorrow during the Asian session (01:00, GMT), RBNZ is to release its\u00a0interest rate decision<\/b>\u00a0and is expected to\u00a0remain on hold<\/b>\u00a0at +1.00%, while NZD OIS\u00a0imply a probability<\/b>\u00a0of 88.49% for the bank to do so. Should the bank remain on hold as forecasted, we could see the market turning its attention to the accompanying statement and Governor Orr\u2019s following press conference (02:00, GMT). With\u00a0inflation accelerating<\/b>\u00a0and close to the bank\u2019s median target, the\u00a0GDP rate<\/b>\u00a0also accelerating and\u00a0unemployment remaining at low levels<\/b>, there seem to be some grounds for optimism about\u00a0New Zealand\u2019s economy<\/b>. On the other hand, the threat of the new\u00a0coronavirus<\/b>\u00a0with all the possible adverse side effects, seems to be\u00a0advising caution<\/b>\u00a0for the bank. We could see some\u00a0constraint optimism<\/b>\u00a0and a less dovish tone from the bank, which could provide some support for the NZD, on the other hand should the bank fail to do so we could see the\u00a0Kiwi plunging<\/b>. NZD\/USD continued to weaken yesterday, struggling with the 0.6390 (S1) support line. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair\u2019s direction as the pair seems to remain under the spell of the downward trendline incepted since the 5th of February. Please note that fundamentals about RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow and Powell\u2019s speech, could affect the pair\u2019s direction. Should the pair remain under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the clearly below the 0.6390 (S1) and aim for the 0.6340 (S2) support level. On the flip side, should the pair\u2019s long positions be favoured by the market, we could see it breaking the prementioned downward trendline and aim for the 0.6440 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n

USD remains supported ahead of Powell\u2019s speech<\/h3>\n

The\u00a0USD remained supported<\/b>\u00a0against a number of its counterparts\u00a0yesterday<\/b><\/a>\u00a0and analysts tended to note that\u00a0coronavirus fears<\/b>\u00a0may have caused some\u00a0safe haven inflows<\/b>\u00a0for the\u00a0greenback<\/b>. It should be noted that\u00a0US treasury debt<\/b>\u00a0seems to be enjoying\u00a0increased demand<\/b>, which could be a result of exactly the prementioned coronavirus fears. On the other hand, the greenback had a number of\u00a0positive readings<\/b>\u00a0past week and confidence in the US economy seems to remain strong. Greenback traders could be turning their attention to Powell\u2019s first of two testimonies before the US Congress later in the American session today (15:00, GMT). Should the Chair of the Fed confirm the\u00a0market\u2019s confidence<\/b>\u00a0we could see the\u00a0USD strengthening<\/b>\u00a0further and vice versa. EUR\/USD dropped further breaking the 1.0940 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as downward trendline, incepted since the 3rd of the month remains intact. Should the pair come under the control of the bulls, we could see it breaking the 1.0940 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.0990 (R2) resistance hurdle. On the other hand, if the bears maintain control, we could see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0885 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0830 (S2) barrier.<\/p>\n

Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n

During the European session, we get a slew of data from the UK such as the GDP growth rates for Q4, the manufacturing output for December and the trading balance for the same month. It\u2019s expected to be in the American session and just before the Asian session, we get from the US the API weekly crude oil inventories figure. During Wednesday\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s consumer sentiment for February. There are a number of speakers scheduled for today and from the BoE the main speakers are to be Cunliffe, Governor Mark Carney and Haskel, while from the ECB main speakers scheduled for today are ECB President Christine Lagarde, Schnabel and Lane. From the Fed we start the day with Fed\u2019s Chair Powell testifying before the US Congress, followed by Quarles, St. Louis\u2019s Bullard (18:30, GMT) and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari.<\/p>\n

NZD\/USD 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 0.6390 (S1), 0.6340 (S2), 0.6300 (S3)
\nResistance: 0.6440 (R1), 0.6490 (R2), 0.6545 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

EUR\/USD 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n

\"support<\/p>\n

Support: 1.0885 (S1), 1.0830 (S2), 1.0770 (S3)
\nResistance: 1.0940 (R1), 1.0990 (R2), 1.1050 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n

\"Benchmark\/11-02-2020\"<\/p>\n

\"Table\/11-02-2020\"<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tomorrow during the Asian session (01:00, GMT), RBNZ is to release its\u00a0interest rate decision\u00a0and is expected to\u00a0remain on hold\u00a0at +1.00%,<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWeak Kiwi awaits RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RBNZ likely to hold rates at 1.00% amid coronavirus concerns. NZD\/USD eyes 0.6390 (S1) support. 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