{"id":14862,"date":"2020-10-14T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T13:12:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14862"},"modified":"2025-12-30T13:05:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T11:05:35","slug":"usd-gains-as-uncertainty-remains-present","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/usd-gains-as-uncertainty-remains-present\/","title":{"rendered":"USD gains as uncertainty remains present"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain ground against its major counterparts yesterday as the uncertainty in the markets seems to remain at high levels. The fact that the two parties seem to fail to reach an agreement regarding a possible fiscal stimulus tended to fuel market worries and analysts seem to note that possibly such a stimulus could be agreed after the elections. At the same time the risk appetite of the markets seemed to be on reverse, given that the hopes for a possible vaccine until year\u2019s end are fading away after J&amp;J halted its trials temporarily while another company also paused a coronavirus antibody treatment due to safety concerns. Also, the slowing down of the headline inflation rate on a month on month basis for September did not help the greenback. Also, the possibility of Biden getting elected seems to be gaining ground within the market, while also the possibility of the Democrats gaining control over the Senate cannot be excluded. We expect market sentiment to remain the main driver for the USD and if market worries continue to dominate the market, we could see the USD gaining more safe haven inflows and vice versa.<br \/>\nUSD\/CHF rose breaking the 0.9105 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. As the pair seems to have stabilised in the Asian session and at the same time has broken the downward trendline incepted since the 29th of September, we switch our bearish outlook for the pair in favour of a sideways bias initially, before the pair decides on the direction of its next leg. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market, we could see it breaking the 0.9105 (S1) and aim for the 0.9025 (S2) level. Should buyers be in control of the index\u2019s direction, we could see it breaking the 0.9200 (R1) line aiming for the 0.9285 (R2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>GBP weakens as Brexit deadline approaches<\/h3>\n<p>The pound weakened against the USD yesterday but also against the EUR and JPY, as the deadline set by the EU and the UK for the Brexit negotiations on the 15th of October nears. Media seem to report that EU\u2019s prerequisites to enter the last phase of the negotiations have increased, making the situation even harder, despite the two sides reportedly nearing a possible deal in the past weeks. At the same time, it should be noted that the UK is severely hit by the pandemic and the UK government has announced stricter measures to counter it. We expect market focus to remain on these two issues for the pound, possibly with more emphasis being placed on the Brexit negotiations and should there be signs that the two sides are nearing a deal we could see the pound strengthening. At the same time the possibility of the BoE employing negative rates seems to be weighing on the pound, while yesterday\u2019s release of UK\u2019s August employment data, increased worries for the UK employment market.<br \/>\nCable tumbled yesterday breaking the 1.3015 (R2) and the 1.2945 (R1) support levels now turned to resistance. As the pair\u2019s bullish movement was abruptly interrupted, we tend maintain bearish outlook for the pair given the current weakness of the pound yet fundamentals on both sides of the pair could affect its direction. Should the bulls regain control over cable, we could see it breaking the 1.2945 (R1) line, aiming for the 1.3015 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears maintain control, we could see GBP\/USD, breaking the 1.2885 (S1) line and aim for the 1.2800 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>In the European session today, we note Eurozone\u2019s industrial production growth rate for August. During the American session, we get the US PPI rate for December and just before the Asian session starts we get the API weekly crude oil inventories figure. During Thursday\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s employment data for September as well as China\u2019s inflation rates for the same month. As for speakers please note that ECB President Christine Lagarde, ECB\u2019s Mersch and Lane, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Fed\u2019s Quarles, BoC Deputy Governor Lane, RBA Governor Philip Lowe and Dallas Fed President Kaplan speak.<\/p>\n<h4>USD\/CHF 4 Hour Chart<\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/14-10-2020\/USDCHF%20H4%2010142020.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point nine one zero five and resistance at zero point nine two,  direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 0.9105 (S1), 0.9025 (S2), 0.8930 (S3)<\/p>\n<p>Resistance: 0.9200 (R1), 0.9285 (R2), 0.9360 (R3)<\/p>\n<h4>GBP\/USD H4 Hour Chart<\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/14-10-2020\/GBPUSD%20H4%2010142020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point two eight eight five and resistance at one point two nine four five, direction downwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 1.2885 (S1), 1.2800 (S2), 1.2725 (S3)<\/p>\n<p>Resistance: 1.2945 (R1), 1.3015 (R2), 1.3085 (R3)<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/14-10-2020\/benchmark-14-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"benchmark-14-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/14-10-2020\/table-14-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"table-14-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/14-10-2020\/morning-releases-14-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"morning-releases-14-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Isen\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade:<\/p>\n<p><i>Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 considerada como aconselhamento ou recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o ao investimento, mas apenas como comunica\u00e7\u00e3o de marketing. O IronFX n\u00e3o \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por quaisquer dados ou pela informa\u00e7\u00e3o fornecida por terceiros aqui mencionados, ou com links diretos, nesta comunica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain ground against its major counterparts yesterday as the uncertainty in the markets seems to remain<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD Gains as Uncertainty Remains 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