{"id":56128,"date":"2023-02-17T11:05:56","date_gmt":"2023-02-17T09:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=56128"},"modified":"2025-12-02T14:46:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T12:46:59","slug":"usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"USD on the rise on hawkish Fed\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD was on the rise across the board yesterday, as market expectations for a hawkish Fed were maintained and at the same time resilient inflation data underscored such a scenario. We make a start though with the number of house starts and building permits, both for January, which tended to drop implying a contraction of economic activity in the US construction sector. In the employment market, the weekly initial jobless claims figure dropped instead of rising implying that the tightness of the US employment market is still present. On the flip side, the Philly Fed Business index dropped heavily into the negatives, implying a contraction of economic activity in the wider Philly area. As for inflation, we must note that the PPI rate accelerated beyond expectations for January on a month-on-month basis, highlighting that inflationary pressures are still present in the US economy. On the monetary front, we note that a number of Fed officials such as Cleveland Fed President Mester and St. Louis Fed President Bullard maintained their hawkish tone which intensified market expectations for more rate hikes. North of the US border we note that the CAD weakened against the USD, worried possibly for the Fed\u2019s intentions and widening monetary policy outlook deviations with BoC, but also the drop of oil prices for a fifth consecutive day pushed the Loonie lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"USD on the rise\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/AtjSvAdlAUI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It should be noted that WTI\u2019s price has been driven lower also due to market worries that the Fed\u2019s hawkishness is to curtail economic activity further and may have an adverse effect on oil demand, a concern that has also been reflected in markets lately as <strong>USD Rises<\/strong> on tightening expectations. Across the Atlantic, we note that the UK\u2019s retail sales growth rate accelerated more than expected, which was a positive for the UK on a macroeconomic level, yet failed to excite pound traders, especially as <strong>USD Rises<\/strong> tends to pressure other major currencies. On a monetary level, we note that BoE\u2019s chief economist Huw Pill stated that the bank is to raise rates at a slower pace this year yet has to remain vigilant not to end its rate hiking cycle too soon. The pound\u2019s drop though is unlikely to be halted easily as market worries for a possible recession in the UK economy are still intense, particularly when USD Rises amplify currency imbalances. Finally, we note RBA Governor Lowe, despite the political pressure being exercised on the bank due to the continuous rate hikes, defended the bank\u2019s hawkish stance and expressed the hope that rates may start coming down in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;GBP\/USD dropped yesterday and is now reaching the 1.1925 (S1) support line. Given the downward trendline guiding the pair and the RSI indicator being at the reading of 30, we maintain a bearish outlook for cable. Should the bears remain in charge, we may see the pair breaking the 1.1925 (S1) support line with the 1.1740 (S2) support level, being the next possible target for the bears. Should the bulls take over, we may see cable reversing course, breaking the prementioned downward trendline in a first sign of a changing trend and aim if not breach the 1.2115 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD was on the rise yesterday breaking the 1.3465 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. Given that the RSI indicator has reached the reading of 70 and an upward trendline is supporting the pair, we tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair. Should the ascent higher be maintained we may see USD\/CAD &nbsp;breaking the 1.3570 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.3685 (R2) level. Should a selling interest be expressed we may see USD\/CAD, reversing course and breaking the 1.3465 (S1) support line, the upward trendline and aim for the 1.3335 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In an easy Friday, we note during the European session the release of UK\u2019s retail sales growth rate for January as well as the France\u2019s final HICP rates for the same month. On the monetary front&nbsp; ECB policymaker De Galhau speaks. In the American session, we note the release of Canada\u2019s producer prices for January while Richmond Fed President Barkin and Fed Board Governor Bowman are scheduled to speak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gbp-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>GBP\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"756\" height=\"360\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-83.png\" alt=\"USD Rises\" class=\"wp-image-56133\" title=\"gbp-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.1925 (S1), 1.1740 (S2), 1.1565 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.2115 (R1), 1.2270 (R2), 1.2465 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"757\" height=\"357\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-84.png\" alt=\"USD Rises\" class=\"wp-image-56134\" title=\"usd-cad-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3460 (S1), 1.3335 (S2), 1.3230 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3570 (R1), 1.3685 (R2), 1.3805 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1446\" height=\"352\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-85.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56135\" title=\"benchmark-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1061\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-87.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56137\" title=\"table-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1226\" height=\"756\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-86.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56136\" title=\"morning-releases-17-2-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Se tiver alguma d\u00favida ou coment\u00e1rios sobre este artigo, solicitamos que envie um email diretamente para a nossa equipa de Research atrav\u00e9s do <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isen\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade:<br>Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 considerada como aconselhamento ou recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o ao investimento, mas apenas como comunica\u00e7\u00e3o de marketing. O IronFX n\u00e3o \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por quaisquer dados ou pela informa\u00e7\u00e3o fornecida por terceiros aqui mencionados, ou com links diretos, nesta comunica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD was on the rise across the board yesterday, as market expectations for a hawkish Fed were maintained and<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD Rises on Hawkish Fed Signals<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD rises as hawkish Fed signals boost expectations for tighter policy and influence market sentiment across major currencies.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56128\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USD on the rise on hawkish Fed\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The USD rises as hawkish Fed signals boost expectations for tighter policy and influence market sentiment across major currencies.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-17T09:05:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-02T12:46:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"USD on the rise on hawkish Fed\u00a0\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-17T09:05:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-02T12:46:59+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":803,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/\",\"name\":\"USD Rises on Hawkish Fed Signals\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-17T09:05:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-02T12:46:59+00:00\",\"description\":\"The USD rises as hawkish Fed signals boost expectations for tighter policy and influence market sentiment across major currencies.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/usd-on-the-rise-on-hawkish-fed\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"USD on the rise on hawkish Fed\u00a0\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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