{"id":69940,"date":"2023-09-22T10:26:58","date_gmt":"2023-09-22T07:26:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=69940"},"modified":"2025-12-01T12:09:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T10:09:37","slug":"septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\/","title":{"rendered":"September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to stabilize against its counterparts yesterday, in the aftermath of the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision and we note that our worries for the economic outlook of the US tended to intensify especially as September\u2019s Preliminary data continue to shape market sentiment. On the other hand, we highlight that the possibility of the US Government shutting down is looming over the markets and may provide some safe-haven inflows for the USD. Furthermore, the greenback may be drawing support from rising US bond yields.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"BOE and BOJ remain on hold\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nyGYRYmk4S8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the pond, BoE decided to remain on hold, keeping rates at 5.25%, given the unexpected slowdown of the UK CPI rates for August\u2014an outcome that aligns with September\u2019s Preliminary signals of easing inflationary pressures. The bank also expressed its expectations for inflation to come down significantly over the coming months and at the same time tended to stress the weaker economic outlook for the UK. Overall, the bank seems to have reached its terminal rate without explicitly having stated that, and a number of financial analysts are highlighting such a scenario, which in turn may weigh on the pound somewhat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GBP\/USD dropped yesterday, breaking the 1.2310 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. We tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair given the downward trendline guiding cable since the 1st of September, but also the RSI indicator is just above the reading of 30, implying a bearish sentiment in the market for cable sentiment that aligns with September\u2019s Preliminary signals of broader weakness. Should the selling interest be maintained, we may see GBP\/USD aiming for the 1.2185 (S1) support line, while should it be reversed and a buying interest is expressed by the market, we may see cable breaking the 1.2310 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.2485 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market worries for the economic outlook of the Eurozone tend to intensify and EUR traders are expected to keep a close eye over the preliminary PMI figures for September. The indicators are expected to show another contraction of economic activity across sectors and could potentially weigh on the common currency, while market focus is expected to be on Germany\u2019s manufacturing sector, which is considered vital for Eurozone\u2019s economy, and seems to have suffered the greatest hit so far.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD remained above the 1.0635 (S1) support line, relatively unchanged over the past 24 hours. Yet the downward trendline guiding the pair since the 18th of July suggests a bearish outlook, and a breaking of the 1.0635 (S1) could serve as another confirmation of the continuance of the downward trajectory, especially if September\u2019s Preliminary signals continue to point toward economic weakness. Thus, should the bears maintain control, we would expect the pair to clearly break the S1 and aim for the 1.0515 (S2) support level. Should, on the other hand, the bulls take over, we may see the pair rising, breaking the prementioned downward trendline in a first signal that the downward motion has been interrupted, yet for a bullish outlook we could also require the pair to break the 1.0735 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.0835 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of the preliminary PMI figures for France, Germany, the Eurozone, the UK and the US for September, while from the UK we get August\u2019s retail sales and September\u2019s CBI industrial orders trend, and from Canada we get July\u2019s retail sales growth rate. On the monetary front, we note that ECB Board Member De Guindos, Fed Board Governor Cook, Boston Fed President Collins, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari and San Francisco Fed President Daly are scheduled to speak, while during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session we note that RBA Assistant Governor Jones and BoJ\u2019s Governor Ueda are scheduled to make statements. It should be noted that JPY traders earlier today were in a selling mode for JPY as BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision failed to provide any indications for a change in the bank\u2019s ultra-loose monetary policy settings, disproving any analysts hoping for a shift. Hence, we expect monetary policy outlook differentials to continue to weigh on JPY, especially as markets digest September\u2019s Preliminary data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have to note at this point that the Japanese Yen has reached very low levels against the USD and a market intervention by the Japanese government is possible. Japan\u2019s Finance Minister Suzuki was reported saying by Reuters that he would \u201cnot rule out any options on currencies as the dollar broke above 148 yen to the dollar, warning against yen sell-offs that would hurt trade-reliant Japan\u201d, a warning that comes at a time when September\u2019s Preliminary market signals are already amplifying volatility in the FX space.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gbp-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>GBP\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"292\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/gbpusb-2292023.png\" alt=\"September\u2019s Preliminary\" class=\"wp-image-69958\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.2185 (S1), 1.2045 (S2), 1.1930 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.2310 (R1), 1.2485 (R2), 1.2655 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-4-hour-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"292\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/eurusd-2292023.png\" alt=\"September\u2019s Preliminary\" class=\"wp-image-69959\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.0635 (S1), 1.0515 (S2), 1.0445 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.0735 (R1), 1.0835 (R2), 1.0940 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1277\" height=\"312\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/benchmarkcurrencerates.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69955\" title=\"benchmark-21-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1177\" height=\"629\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/table2292023.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69949\" title=\"table-21-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"868\" height=\"681\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/fridayreleases.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69954\" title=\"morning-releases-21-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1184\" height=\"270\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/mondaysearlymorningreleases.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69953\" title=\"morning-releases-21-09-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Se tiver alguma d\u00favida ou coment\u00e1rios sobre este artigo, solicitamos que envie um email diretamente para a nossa equipa de Research atrav\u00e9s do <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isen\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade:<br>Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 considerada como aconselhamento ou recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o ao investimento, mas apenas como comunica\u00e7\u00e3o de marketing. O IronFX n\u00e3o \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por quaisquer dados ou pela informa\u00e7\u00e3o fornecida por terceiros aqui mencionados, ou com links diretos, nesta comunica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fed remain on pause during their monetary policy decision yesterday, as was widely expected. However, the Fed Chair hinted<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets watch September\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for fresh insights into economic momentum and the outlook for key sectors.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69940\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markets watch September\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for fresh insights into economic momentum and the outlook for key sectors.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/pt\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-09-22T07:26:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-01T10:09:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-09-22T07:26:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-01T10:09:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":889,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/\",\"name\":\"September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-09-22T07:26:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-01T10:09:37+00:00\",\"description\":\"Markets watch September\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for fresh insights into economic momentum and the outlook for key sectors.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/septembers-preliminary-pmi-figures-in-sight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"September\u2019s Preliminary PMI figures in sight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/pt\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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