{"id":14401,"date":"2020-02-12T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T08:48:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14401"},"modified":"2024-06-25T09:22:03","modified_gmt":"2024-06-25T06:22:03","slug":"rbnzs-interest-rate-decision-sends-the-kiwi-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/ru\/rbnzs-interest-rate-decision-sends-the-kiwi-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision sends the Kiwi higher"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>RBNZ remained on hold<\/b>\u00a0as expected at 1.00%, yet the accompanying statement made the\u00a0<b>Kiwi jump<\/b>\u00a0against the USD during today\u2019s Asian session. In its accompanying statement the bank left out a line which indicated the bank\u2019s readiness to add further monetary stimulus to\u00a0<b>New Zealand\u2019s economy<\/b>\u00a0if needed, while at the same that in its forecasts, it seems to reject the idea of a possible\u00a0<b>rate cut<\/b>\u00a0for 2020. The bank also noted the\u00a0<b>emerging risk<\/b>\u00a0of the\u00a0<b>new Coronavirus<\/b>, yet in his press conference RBNZ Governor Orr, stated that the working assumption is for some\u00a0<b>renormalization<\/b>\u00a0to be expected over March. If the two prior points are to be combined one could conclude that the bank seems to plan to remain on hold at 1.00% for 2020, unless the Coronavirus effect comes\u00a0<b>out of proportions<\/b>. Analysts tended to note the\u00a0<b>hawkish shift of the bank<\/b>\u00a0while at the same time underscored the bank\u2019s forecasts for a possible rate hike in late 2021, as supportive argumentation. We also find the whole event as\u00a0<b>supportive for the Kiwi<\/b>\u00a0not only for shorter term but may have also a wider reaching effect albeit less intense. NZD\/USD jumped during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking the 0.6440 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. As the pair clearly broke downward trendline incepted since the 5th of the month, we switch our bearish outlook for the pair, in favour initially of a sideways movement. Please note that we consider a correction lower as still possible for the pair after today\u2019s spike. Should the pair come under the selling interest of the market we could see the pair once again breaking the 0.6440 (S1) support line aiming for the 0.6390 (S2) support level. Should the pair\u2019s long positions be favoured by the market, we could see the pair breaking the 0.6490 (R1) resistance line, aiming for higher grounds.<\/p>\n<h3>Pound ascents slightly on improved readings<\/h3>\n<p>The pound gained\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/weak-kiwi-awaits-rbnzs-interest-rate-decision\"><b>against the USD yesterday<\/b><\/a>, as UK readings regarding GDP, manufacturing and trading activity were deemed as quite\u00a0<b>positive<\/b>. The readings where either in line with expectations or\u00a0<b>outperformed<\/b>\u00a0them providing a slight\u00a0<b>boost for the pound<\/b>. Characteristically the preliminary GDP readings for Q4 on a year on year basis remained unchanged instead of slowing down, while the\u00a0<b>manufacturing output<\/b>\u00a0growth rate\u00a0<b>accelerated<\/b>\u00a0getting out of the negative area, albeit not reaching its target. Maybe the biggest surprise of the releases was the\u00a0<b>trade balance<\/b>\u00a0which turned into a\u00a0<b>surplus<\/b>\u00a0for the first time in over 20 years. Analysts tend to note that the readings may be\u00a0<b>easing the pressure<\/b>\u00a0on BoE for any rate cuts any time soon and tend to\u00a0<b>improve the outlook<\/b>\u00a0for the\u00a0<b>pound<\/b>, yet we would also add that they concern a\u00a0<b>very volatile<\/b>\u00a0period for the UK, specifically the last months before Brexit and during the UK elections. We could see the\u00a0<b>pound strengthening<\/b>\u00a0over the next few days, yet the situation remains uncertain, as negotiations with the EU may still pull it downwards. GBP\/USD ascended slightly yesterday aiming for the 1.3015 (R1) resistance line. Technically the main characteristic of yesterday\u2019s movement was the breaking of the downward trendline incepted since the 31st of January, forcing us to switch our bearish outlook for the pair in favour of a sideways movement. Should the pair come under the control of the bulls, we could see it breaking the 1.3015 (R1) resistance line. On the other hand, if the bears maintain control, we could see cable breaking the 1.2820 (S1) support line.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>During the European session, we get from Sweden, Riksbank\u2019s interest rate decision and Eurozone\u2019s industrial production growth rate for December. In the American session we get the EIA crude oil inventories figure, while during Thursday\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s PPI rate for January. As for speakers, Philadelphia Fed\u2019s Harker, San Francisco Fed\u2019s Daly, Fed Chair Powell and BoC Governor Poloz speak.<\/p>\n<p><b>NZD\/USD 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/12-02-2020\/nzd-usd-12-02-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point six four four zero and resistance at zero point six four nine zero, direction up\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 0.6440 (S1), 0.6390 (S2), 0.6340 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 0.6490 (R1), 0.6545 (R2), 0.6600 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>GBP\/USD 4 Hour chart<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/12-02-2020\/gbp-usd-12-02-2020.PNG\" alt=\"support at one point two eight two zero resistance at one point three zero one five, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Support: 1.2820 (S1), 1.2600 (S2), 1.2385 (S3)<br \/>\nResistance: 1.3015 (R1), 1.3170 (R2), 1.3340 (R3)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/12-02-2020\/Benchmark.png\" alt=\"Benchmark\/12-02-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/2-February-20\/12-02-2020\/Table.png\" alt=\"Table\/12-02-2020\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBNZ remained on hold\u00a0as expected at 1.00%, yet the accompanying statement made the\u00a0Kiwi jump\u00a0against the USD during today\u2019s Asian session.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision sends the Kiwi higher<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NZD jumps on RBNZ statement; NZD\/USD eyes 0.6490 (R1) resistance. 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