{"id":14917,"date":"2020-10-05T15:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T13:33:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=forex-blog&#038;p=14917"},"modified":"2024-05-07T12:49:35","modified_gmt":"2024-05-07T09:49:35","slug":"usd-stable-as-trumps-health-perplexes-situation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/th\/usd-stable-as-trumps-health-perplexes-situation\/","title":{"rendered":"USD stable as Trump\u2019s health perplexes situation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After the announcement on Friday that US President Trump tested positive for COVID 19 the USD tended to remain rather stable against other major currencies. Announcements about the issue, since Friday tended to spread confusion rather than clarify the situation and widespread worries about the US Presidential elections tended to create uncertainty. Also, it should be noted that expectations for a fiscal stimulus in the US are still present among market participants, yet still remain rather low. Any indications that the two sides are nearing a deal in the US Congress for a stimulus could support US stocks as well as the USD and vice versa.<br \/>\nUSD\/CHF dropped on Friday and during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking the 0.9200 support line, now turned to resistance. We tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as long as it remain below the downward trendline incepted since the 29th of September. Should the pair actually remain under the selling interest of the market, we could see it aiming if not breaking the 0.9105 (S1), albeit some hesitation could be present also just above 0.9160. Should the pair find fresh buying orders along its path, we could see it breaking the 0.9200 (R1) line and aim for the 0.9285 (R2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Aussie traders eye RBA\u2019s interest rate decision<\/h3>\n<p>Aussie traders could be eyeing RBA\u2019s interest rate decision during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session (03:30,GMT) as the release could create volatility. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold at +0.25% and currently AUD OIS imply a probability of 95.33% for such a scenario. Should the bank remain on hold as forecasted we could see the market\u2019s attention turning to the accompanying statement of Governor Lowe. Markets seem to expect the bank to remain on hold through 2020, yet some analysts tend to underscore the possibility of a 15 basis points rate cut in November. Should the bank in its forward guidance imply that a rate cut is in the cards for the near future we could see the Aussie weakening. In general, we expect the bank to maintain an accommodative tone, yet an effort to downplay the comments for a possible rate cut, could make the bank sound more optimistic in which case the AUD could get a boost.<br \/>\nAUD\/USD remained in a rather sideways motion, despite slight bullish tendencies and is currently just below the 0.7200 (R1) resistance. We could see the pair maintaining its sideways motion between the 0.7200 (R1) and the 0.7100 (S1) level, yet RBA\u2019s interest rate decision, could create some volatility for the pair. Should the bulls gain control over the pair\u2019s direction, we could see it breaking the 0.7200 (R1) line and aim for the 0.7300 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, we could see the pair breaking the 0.7100 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.7025 (S2) level.<\/p>\n<h3>Other economic highlights today and early tomorrow<\/h3>\n<p>During Monday\u2019s European session, we get Turkey\u2019s CPI rates for September, UK\u2019s final services PMI for September and Eurozone\u2019s retail sales for August. During the American session we highlight the US ISM non-manufacturing PMI for September while in tomorrow\u2019s Asian session from Australia, before RBA\u2019s interest rate decision, we get Australia\u2019s trade data for August.<\/p>\n<h4>As for the rest of the week<\/h4>\n<p>On Tuesday, we get from Germany the Industrial orders for August, UN\u2019s construction PMI for September, the US and Canada\u2019s trade balance for August, while Fed Chairman Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde speak. On Wednesday, we get Germany\u2019s industrial production for August and UK\u2019s Halifax House prices for September while the minutes of the Fed\u2019s last meeting are due out On Thursday, we get Japan\u2019s current account balance for September, Canada\u2019s housing starts for September and the US initial jobless claims figure. On Friday, we get China\u2019s Caixin Services PMI for September, UK\u2019s GDP for August, UK\u2019s manufacturing production for August and Canada\u2019s employment data for September.<\/p>\n<h4>USD\/CHF 4 Hour Chart<\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/05-10-2020\/USDCHF%20H4%2010052020.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point nine one zero five and resistance at zero point nine two zero zero, direction downwards\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 0.9105 (S1), 0.9025 (S2), 0.8930 (S3)<\/p>\n<p>Resistance: 0.9200 (R1), 0.9280 (R2), 0.9360 (R3)<\/p>\n<h4>AUD\/USD 4 Hour Chart<\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/05-10-2020\/AUDUSD%20H4%2010052020.PNG\" alt=\"support at zero point seven one zero zero and resistance at zero point seven two zero zero, direction sideways\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Support: 0.7100 (S1), 0.7025 (S2), 0.6940 (S3)<\/p>\n<p>Resistance: 0.7200 (R1), 0.7300 (R2), 0.7410 (R3)<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/05-10-2020\/benchmark-05-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"benchmark-05-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/05-10-2020\/table-05-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"table-05-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/shared.gighl.com\/Morning-Pictures-2020\/October-2020\/05-10-2020\/morning-releases-05-10-2020.PNG\" alt=\"morning-releases-05-10-2020\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer:<\/p>\n<p><i>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After the announcement on Friday that US President Trump tested positive for COVID 19 the USD tended to remain rather<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD stable as Trump\u2019s health perplexes situation<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD remains stable post-President Trump&#039;s COVID-19 announcement. 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