{"id":67344,"date":"2023-07-27T11:01:54","date_gmt":"2023-07-27T08:01:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=67344"},"modified":"2024-08-26T12:12:42","modified_gmt":"2024-08-26T09:12:42","slug":"fed-hikes-rate-attention-turns-to-us-gdp-rate-ecbs-and-bojs-rate-decisions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/th\/fed-hikes-rate-attention-turns-to-us-gdp-rate-ecbs-and-bojs-rate-decisions\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed hikes rate attention turns to US GDP rate, ECB\u2019s and BoJ\u2019s rate decisions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to edge lower against its counterparts, as the Fed delivered the expected 25 basis points rate hike yet provided little new for market participants. In its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/monetary20230726a1.pdf\">accompanying statement<\/a>, in our opinion, the bank seems to have removed its predisposition for more rate hikes and is more data-dependent. It\u2019s as if the bank accepts that it has reached the end of its rate hiking cycle yet at the same time keeps the door open for another rate hike in the September meeting if necessary. The release was viewed as leaning towards the dovish side and weakened the USD yet at the same time strengthened gold and US stock markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Fed hikes rate, attention turns to US GDP rate, ECB\u2019s decision, BoJ\u2019s decision\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/U8WUOKpagJ0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the pond EUR traders prepare today for ECB\u2019s interest rate decision, the bank is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points and EUR OIS imply a probability of 98% for such a scenario to materialize, while also suggest that another rate hike may be possible in the October meeting. Should the bank actually deliver the rate hike, attention is expected to shift towards the forward guidance that may be included in the accompanying statement and ECB President Christine Lagarde\u2019s press conference, half an hour later. Should the bank remain hawkish favoring the scenario of another rate hike, we may see EUR getting some support, while should the bank hesitate and ease its prior hawkish stance, we may see the common currency slipping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD edged higher in the past twenty-four hours, aiming for the 1.1145 (R1) resistance line. Given that the pair in its upward movement has broken the downward trendline guiding it since the 18<sup>th<\/sup> of July, we switch our bearish outlook in favour of a sideways motion bias. Please note that the RSI indicator is rising and surpassed the reading of 50, implying that the bearish sentiment is practically out and ECB\u2019s interest rate decision is to be the next key event. Should the bulls take over we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.1145 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 1.1270 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears be in charge we may see the pair breaking the 1.1020 (S1) support line and aim for the 1.0920 (S2) support level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>JPY traders are to keep a close eye on the release of BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision, in tomorrow\u2019s Asian session and the bank is expected to remain on hold at -0.10%. The main element at which JPY traders are focusing is whether the bank is to widen its tolerance level regarding the yield of Japanese Government Bonds. Should BoJ widen its tolerance level and allow for yields to rise further say for example to \u00b1100 points, we may see the market viewing the tweak in BoJ\u2019s ultra-loose monetary policy as hawkish and thus providing some support for JPY, regardless of the bank\u2019s narrative. For the time being, we doubt whether the bank is to provide such a signal and should the bank keep its ultra-loose monetary policy settings in place, we may see JPY losing ground, as the monetary policy outlook differentials are to continue weighing.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY maintained its downward motion aiming for the 139.15 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bearish outlook as long as the downward trendline guiding its remains intact. Should the selling interest be maintained we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 139.15 (S1) support line and aim for the 137.40 (S2) support base. Should the bulls take over, we expect the pair to reverse direction, break the prementioned downward trendline, signalling an interruption in the downward movement of the pair, break the 140.80 (R1) resistance &nbsp;line and aim for the 142.30 (R2) resistance barrier. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, besides ECB\u2019s interest rate decision, we also note the release of Canada\u2019s business barometer for July, the US durable goods orders for June and the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, while the highlight of financial releases is expected to be the US GDP advance rate for Q2. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session and besides BoJ\u2019s interest rate decision, we note the release from Japan of Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates as well as the release of Australia\u2019s PPI rates for Q2.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-114.png\" alt=\"support at one point one zero two and resistance at one point one one seven five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-67345\" title=\"eur-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.1020 (S1), 1.0885 (S2), 1.0780 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.1175 (R1), 1.1270 (R2), 1.1370 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-115.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and thirty nine point one five and resistance at one hundred and forty point eight, direction downwards \" class=\"wp-image-67346\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 139.15 (S1), 137.40 (S2), 135.70 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 140.80 (R1), 142.30 (R2), 143.90 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-116.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67347\" title=\"benchmark-27-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1044\" height=\"619\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-119.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67350\" title=\"table-27-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1732\" height=\"861\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-117.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67348\" title=\"morning-releases-27-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"718\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-118.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67349\" title=\"morning-releases-27-07-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to edge lower against its counterparts, as the Fed delivered the expected 25 basis points rate hike<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fed hikes rate attention turns to US GDP rate<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD dips as Fed\u2019s 25 bps hike hints at end of cycle; 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