{"id":55004,"date":"2023-02-06T10:05:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-06T08:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=55004"},"modified":"2025-10-17T09:57:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T06:57:25","slug":"rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/vi\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as the NFP figure instead of dropping, rose to reach&nbsp; 517k and the unemployment rate ticked down to 3.4%, showcasing the tightness of the US employment market. The release highlights the possibility of a hawkish Fed and understandably weakened riskier assets such as US stockmarkets which dropped. Also, we note that during today\u2019s Asian session, reports surfaced that BoJ Deputy Governor Amamiya may be the one to replace BoJ Governor Kuroda in April and that the Japanese Government is considering this scenario. The reports have not been reaffirmed from the Japanese Government, yet such a scenario could weaken JPY given that Deputy Governor was regarded as being one of the doves in BoJ. Tomorrow, during the Asian session, we highlight RBA\u2019s interest rate decision and the bank is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points and AUD OIS imply a probability of 91% for such a scenario to materialize, while the rest imply that the bank may remain on hold at 3.10%. It should be noted that the acceleration of the headline CPI rate on a year-on-year level and the relatively tight employment market despite the drop of the employment change figure into the negatives for December, adds more pressure on the bank to tighten its monetary policy. Should the bank proceed with a 25 basis points rate hike as expected, we may see the Aussie getting some support, yet market attention is expected to turn towards Governor Lowe\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the statement maintain a clear, confident, hawkish tone, we may see AUD gaining further. Should the bank express doubts about the possible tightening of its monetary policy the rate hike may turn to a dovish hike weakening the Aussie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n <iframe title=\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pJoaOFrNGlM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD dropped breaking the 0.7010 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance and continued lower to test the 0.6900 (S1) support line, before correcting higher. We tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair currently, given also that the RSI indicator is near the reading of 30. Should the bears maintain control over the pair, we may see AUD\/USD breaking the 0.6900 (S1) support line and aim for the 0.6800 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see AUD\/USD extending the correction higher, breaking the 0.7010 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 0.7125 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY rose yesterday, breaking the 131.40 (S1) resistance line now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair given also that the RSI indicator is near the reading of 70. Should the buying interest be extended we may see the pair aiming if not breaking the 134.80 (R1) resistance line. Should the sellers be in charge of the pair\u2019s direction, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 131.40 (S1) support line and aiming for the 128.60 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session, we note the release of Germany\u2019s industrial orders growth rate for December, Eurozone\u2019s Sentix index for February, UK\u2019s construction PMI figure for January and Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for January albeit the release is tentative and could be in the next couple of days, while on the monetary front, we note that BoE\u2019s MPC member Mann speaks. During Tuesday\u2019s Asian session, besides RBA\u2019s interest rate decision, we also get from Australia the trade data for December and Japan\u2019s All Household spending for the same month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday, we get Germany\u2019s industrial output for December, UK Halifax House Prices for January and Canada\u2019s trade data for December. On Wednesday we get Japan\u2019s current account balance. On Thursday, we note the release of the US weekly initial jobless claims figure as well as New Zealand\u2019s electronic card retail sales for January, while on the monetary front, we get from Sweden, Riksbank\u2019s interest rate decision. Finally, on Friday, we get Japan\u2019s corporate goods prices, China\u2019s inflation metrics, Norway\u2019s CPI rates and Canada\u2019s employment data, all being for January, while from the UK we get the preliminary GDP rate for Q4 and from the US the preliminary university of Michigan consumer sentiment for February.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-25.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six nine and resistance at zero point seven zero one, direction upwards    \" class=\"wp-image-55015\" title=\"aud-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.6900 (S1), 0.6800 (S2), 0.6720 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.7010 (R1), 0.7125 (R2), 0.7285 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-h4-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"456\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-26.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and thirty one point four and resistance at one hundred and thirty four point six, direction upwards   \" class=\"wp-image-55016\" title=\"usd-jpy-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 131.40 (S1), 128.60 (S2), 126.50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 134.60 (R1), 138.15 (R2), 140.50 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1995\" height=\"486\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55017\" title=\"benchmark-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1053\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-29.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55025\" title=\"table-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"791\" height=\"629\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-28.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55021\" title=\"morning-releases-06-02-2023\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report, as<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55004\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx-id.com\/vi\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":813,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\",\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-06T08:05:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-17T06:57:25+00:00\",\"description\":\"The USD got some considerable support on Friday across the board, after the release of January\u2019s US employment report\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-to-take-the-spotlight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision to take the spotlight\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-id.com\\\/vi\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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